
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-19-2026
Volume
21.6K
24h volume
16.1K
1w volume
21.6K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
28.0K
Liquidity CLOB
28.0K
Start
Mar 15, 2026
End
Mar 19, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 15, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
Event ID
272254
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-19-2026
Markets
11
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-19-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 19?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C or below on March 19?",
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{
"id": "1596629",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 19?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-19-2026-13c",
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"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3930.57565",
"startDate": "2026-03-15T10:06:57.029257Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1596630",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 19?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN",
"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3297.88224",
"startDate": "2026-03-15T10:06:59.407258Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 19?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
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"startDate": "2026-03-15T10:06:59.15347Z",
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{
"id": "1596632",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 19?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-19T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1701.95878",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 19?",
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{
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 19?",
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{
"id": "1596637",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 19?",
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{
"id": "10902",
"ticker": "wellington-daily-weather",
"slug": "wellington-daily-weather",
"title": "Wellington Daily Weather",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
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"createdAt": "2026-01-16T17:05:45.658748Z",
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{
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"label": "Weather",
"slug": "weather",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:58.564774Z",
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{
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{
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"label": "Auckland",
"slug": "auckland",
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:26:02.647323Z",
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{
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"label": "Daily Temperature",
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:44.490115Z",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus favors 18°C (39%) and 19°C (24%) as the highest temperature in Wellington on March 19, propelled by MetService's latest forecast projecting a maximum of 18-19°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds carrying cooler maritime air from the Tasman Sea. This aligns with NIWA climatology showing March 19 historical averages near 19.5°C, tempered by neutral ENSO patterns and a weakening high-pressure ridge that stifles warmer northerlies seen earlier in the week. Recent ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, updated yesterday, converge on these levels with low divergence, though 10-15% model spread leaves room for 17°C (19.5%) if cloud cover thickens or 20°C (5.5%) on clearer skies; official observations will resolve via Wellington Airport records.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-18T03:16:31.263Z"
}
}