
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-23-2026
Volume
342.6K
24h volume
308.0K
1w volume
342.6K
Open interest
95.8K
Liquidity
131.9K
Liquidity CLOB
131.9K
Start
Mar 19, 2026
End
Mar 23, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 19, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
Event ID
285775
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-23-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "285775",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-23-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-23-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 23?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"startDate": "2026-03-19T10:26:26.149739Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-19T10:26:26.149727Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-23T12:00:00Z",
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"openInterest": 95796.954035,
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"commentCount": 0,
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{
"id": "1649158",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 23?",
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{
"id": "1649159",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 23?",
"conditionId": "0x5a2d1e63c97c263b3c60151f8c1a4f78d0653257fc6a67a515e89341fc91687b",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-23-2026-14c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN",
"endDate": "2026-03-23T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-19T10:22:46.610476Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-january-18-9V6hoMZlkY2N.jpg",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "6453.254345999999",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-19T10:00:54.770446Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-23T10:47:35.260995Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-22 23:20:13+00",
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{
"id": "1649160",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 23?",
"conditionId": "0xf2303d02adc1bc0a04577e22bae3090cf7217f0b25c1c908a8d6bbf3f5c7d19e",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-23-2026-15c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN",
"endDate": "2026-03-23T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-19T10:22:52.528971Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1649161",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 23?",
"conditionId": "0x48199176428623f55bd2256f59e8048cd8609fbcd75aeb472e241bead19c1095",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-23-2026-16c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN",
"endDate": "2026-03-23T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-19T10:22:58.715373Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1649162",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 23?",
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"endDate": "2026-03-23T12:00:00Z",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 23?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 23?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 23?",
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{
"id": "1649167",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 23?",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Wellington's highest temperature on March 23, driven by MetService's latest forecast indicating a cool southerly airflow capping highs at that level amid cloudy skies and isolated showers. Ensemble weather models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing low forecast uncertainty with temperatures tracking 1-2°C below the late-summer climatological average of 20-21°C. Historical data supports this, as similar synoptic patterns have reliably delivered sub-20°C maxima in recent years. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen northerly wind shift or upper-level ridge breakdown, which current satellite and radar observations deem improbable, keeping market-implied odds firmly anchored.",
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