Highest temperature in Wellington on March 24?

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      "approved": true,
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 24?",
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      "manualActivation": false,
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 24?",
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      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-24-2026-19c",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN",
      "endDate": "2026-03-24T12:00:00Z",
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    {
      "id": "1660839",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 24?",
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      "slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-24-2026-20c",
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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 24?",
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 24?",
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      "slug": "wellington-daily-weather",
      "title": "Wellington Daily Weather",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
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      "label": "Daily Temperature",
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  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
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  "enableNegRisk": true,
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  "eventDate": "2026-03-24",
  "startTime": "2026-03-20T10:00:54.96Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 21°C as Wellington's highest temperature on March 24, driven by MetService's latest forecasts showing a daytime maximum of exactly 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Ensemble weather models from NIWA and global systems like ECMWF align closely, projecting stable southerly flows capping temperatures after a mild start, consistent with March climatology where Wellington's average highs hover around 20-22°C amid its coastal microclimate. Historical data from nearby Kelburn observatory supports this, with only 5% of similar setups exceeding 22°C. A challenge could arise from an unforeseen northerly wind shift or upper-level warming, though probabilities remain under 1% per model outlooks.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-24T10:33:12.582Z"
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