
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-26-2026
Volume
335.7K
24h volume
154.5K
1w volume
335.7K
Open interest
28.2K
Liquidity
7.7K
Liquidity CLOB
7.7K
Start
Mar 22, 2026
End
Mar 26, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 22, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
Event ID
295991
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-26-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "295991",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-26-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-26-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 26?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"startDate": "2026-03-22T10:30:25.050757Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-22T10:30:25.05075Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
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"openInterest": 28221.89869,
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"commentCount": 0,
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{
"id": "1680773",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on March 26?",
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{
"id": "1680774",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on March 26?",
"conditionId": "0xda9a5fd8e64899ea9fadab03cb0aaf8671dd9e99f92abc1f8a7c6b8d36fe6bb1",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-26-2026-11c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-22T10:27:43.042982Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "13525.424311000004",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-22T10:00:57.756955Z",
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{
"id": "1680775",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on March 26?",
"conditionId": "0xf1c0e267c74d867b3b29528e2b19e82b09689991bd4e158975946715788d83b3",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-26-2026-12c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-22T10:27:51.023621Z",
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{
"id": "1680776",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 26?",
"conditionId": "0xbd180116f28fb36b8bd98d964b17f27fcb9a7408a1a6f07105f0479c1519a71c",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-22T10:27:56.988437Z",
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{
"id": "1680777",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 26?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 26?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 26?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 26?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 26?",
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{
"id": "1680782",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 26?",
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"slug": "wellington-daily-weather",
"title": "Wellington Daily Weather",
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"context_description": "MetService New Zealand's latest forecasts confirm a maximum temperature of 19°C for Wellington on March 26, driven by persistent cloud cover, southerly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing warming—aligning with the 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome. Ensemble model guidance from global weather models, including ECMWF and GFS, shows tight agreement on daytime highs below 20°C, consistent with March climatology where Wellington averages 19–20°C amid autumn cooling. Trader consensus reflects this robust data, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen northerly wind shift or rapid cloud clearance allowing brief solar heating spikes, though low-level moisture and shear make 20°C+ improbable; hourly observations will finalize resolution.",
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