Houthi strike on Israel by...?

Name: Houthi strike on Israel by...?
Start: 2026-03-03T00:43:26.934337Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ticker
houthi-strike-on-israel-by-632
Volume
289.8K
24h volume
99.0K
1w volume
289.8K
Open interest
Liquidity
25.6K
Liquidity CLOB
25.6K
Start
Mar 3, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 3, 2026
Event ID
242425
Slug
houthi-strike-on-israel-by-632
Markets
Tags
Israel Regional Spillover Geopolitics Iran Military Strikes Yemen houthis Israel x Iran Middle East
Raw event data
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