
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Ticker
how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-february-16-february-22
Volume
252.3K
24h volume
98.0K
1w volume
216.1K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
50.9K
Liquidity CLOB
50.9K
Start
Feb 13, 2026
End
Feb 22, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 13, 2026
Event ID
207928
Slug
how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-february-16-february-22
Markets
7
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"id": "207928",
"ticker": "how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-february-16-february-22",
"slug": "how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-february-16-february-22",
"title": "How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 16 - February 22?",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
"resolutionSource": "",
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"creationDate": "2026-02-13T21:40:10.157961Z",
"endDate": "2026-02-22T00:00:00Z",
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"commentCount": 28,
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{
"id": "1373462",
"question": "Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?",
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{
"id": "1373463",
"question": "Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?",
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"slug": "will-there-be-more-than-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-february-22",
"endDate": "2026-02-22T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "5867.66736",
"startDate": "2026-02-13T21:39:24.600924Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
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"marketMakerAddress": "",
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{
"id": "1373457",
"question": "Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?",
"conditionId": "0x0d763e37fe0eaed22af1fae2aece062d4e09ccfb32988f7f7f187df998469374",
"slug": "will-there-be-exactly-0-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-february-22",
"endDate": "2026-02-22T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "9843.3456",
"startDate": "2026-02-13T21:38:44.743149Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
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{
"id": "1373458",
"question": "Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?",
"conditionId": "0x8afd4f8cefbfdaac663861b75f618e3f13518da2e2039b558183b1b407581efa",
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"endDate": "2026-02-22T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "12481.39845",
"startDate": "2026-02-13T21:38:48.715929Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
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{
"id": "1373460",
"question": "Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?",
"conditionId": "0xea2a73396dd85280774897b26e03c95262ac537d817f0ac3fa2300364aed29a5",
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"question": "Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?",
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