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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 23 - March 1?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Ticker
how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-february-23-march-1
Volume
262.2K
24h volume
20.1K
1w volume
171.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
94.2K
Liquidity CLOB
94.2K
Start
Feb 20, 2026
End
Mar 1, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 20, 2026
Event ID
219449
Slug
how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-february-23-march-1
Markets
7
Raw event data
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"slug": "how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-february-23-march-1",
"title": "How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 23 - March 1?",
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"startDate": "2026-02-20T21:23:34.280738Z",
"creationDate": "2026-02-20T21:23:34.280729Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-01T00:00:00Z",
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"question": "Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?",
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"question": "Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?",
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"question": "Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?",
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"question": "Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?",
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}- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Vol 88.4KLiq 22.9KEnd Mar 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Vol 45.8KLiq 15.3KEnd Mar 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Vol 31.1KLiq 15.9KEnd Mar 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Vol 30.1KLiq 8.1KEnd Mar 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Vol 26.9KLiq 8.8KEnd Mar 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Vol 21.8KLiq 12.0KEnd Mar 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Vol 18.1KLiq 11.1KEnd Mar 1, 2026OpenOrder book