How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 16 - March 22?

Name: How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 16 - March 22?
Start: 2026-03-13T20:13:41.518541Z
End: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Ticker
how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-march-16-march-22
Volume
298.0K
24h volume
21.7K
1w volume
238.6K
Open interest
61.7K
Liquidity
235.0K
Liquidity CLOB
235.0K
Start
Mar 13, 2026
End
Mar 22, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 13, 2026
Event ID
263705
Slug
how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-march-16-march-22
Markets
Tags
Weather & Science earthquake
Raw event data
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  "ticker": "how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-march-16-march-22",
  "slug": "how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-march-16-march-22",
  "title": "How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 16 - March 22?",
  "description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-13T20:13:41.518541Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-13T20:13:41.518533Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-22T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg",
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  "liquidity": 234984.19669,
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  "openInterest": 61692.330455999996,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-12T19:31:55.883816Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-23T13:07:29.671665Z",
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  "commentCount": 0,
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    {
      "id": "1570742",
      "question": "Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?",
      "conditionId": "0x9ac2e80ca35b7c61d3adca5b7c40aeba6d3b0e5d0c988003e9b0eccbfb6402dd",
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      "endDate": "2026-03-22T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "212377.94009",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
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      "question": "Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?",
      "conditionId": "0xd2bbd7eb4e92435b5fd4a817f474c5d63f0ec7af65f0acce61e0f3e96bc85072",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
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    {
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      "slug": "will-there-be-exactly-0-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-march-22",
      "endDate": "2026-03-22T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-13T20:11:05.604965Z",
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      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-13T19:55:55.028611Z",
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    {
      "id": "1570745",
      "question": "Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?",
      "conditionId": "0x18518b20a240d0e86d0adca984244dda95e269efc3836ca19e5644fd1b952bd8",
      "slug": "will-there-be-exactly-3-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-march-22",
      "endDate": "2026-03-22T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "2081.96419",
      "startDate": "2026-03-13T20:11:21.686166Z",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
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      "volume": "67564.2035319999",
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    {
      "id": "1570750",
      "question": "Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?",
      "conditionId": "0x230aaf401c8f483d2ddee91b784d68d105a811ec671def4352835967060dc519",
      "slug": "will-there-be-exactly-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-march-22",
      "endDate": "2026-03-22T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "16345.23443",
      "startDate": "2026-03-13T20:11:28.871669Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
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      "liquidityNum": 16345.23443,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-22",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-13",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 96.62,
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      "umaReward": "5",
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      "volume1wkClob": 11707.514500000001,
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      "volumeClob": 13441.664000000002,
      "liquidityClob": 16345.23443,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x10493c11c357d68c20ed9d5958697e4cdc8eb40fcdfd38f4ac2acaf68c586f00",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x73c015abb12e718e3f8d009e246d6649100985225b3b57f685a41b41cd663692",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-13T20:10:07Z",
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      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
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      "bestAsk": 0.001,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
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      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-13T19:55:55.044542Z",
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    {
      "id": "1570751",
      "question": "Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?",
      "conditionId": "0xd2841dea63934803dd63952f8d8642b09b65a3d739725c7092bd9f9611fa9820",
      "slug": "will-there-be-more-than-5-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-march-22",
      "endDate": "2026-03-22T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-13T20:11:30.830531Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-13",
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  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10844",
      "ticker": "6pt5-earthquake-weekly",
      "slug": "6pt5-earthquake-weekly",
      "title": "6.5 Earthquake Weekly",
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      "liquidity": 262277.8741,
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "104180",
      "label": "Weather & Science",
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    {
      "id": "100184",
      "label": "earthquake",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:24:22.425682Z",
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  "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-13T19:51:57.43092Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors exactly two magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes from March 16-22, driven by USGS-confirmed detections: a 6.7 near the Aleutian Islands on March 17 and a 6.5 south of Fiji on March 21, with the period now concluded absent further reports. This aligns with the global seismicity baseline of roughly two such events weekly, per long-term USGS data following the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude relation. Comprehensive global monitoring networks minimize detection misses. Realistic challenges include rare upward revisions to a near-threshold quake's magnitude or an overlooked deep remote event, though probabilities remain negligible given authoritative catalog finality.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-23T13:05:32.621Z"
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}
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Vol 43.6KLiq 853End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Vol 67.6KLiq 2.1KEnd Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Vol 36.1KLiq 4.4KEnd Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Vol 35.8KLiq 212.4KEnd Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Vol 13.4KLiq 16.3KEnd Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Vol 79.7KLiq —End Mar 22, 2026Closed
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Vol 21.8KLiq —End Mar 22, 2026Closed