
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Ticker
how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-by-june-30
Volume
1.1M
24h volume
10.8K
1w volume
153.3K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
44.0K
Liquidity CLOB
44.0K
Start
Dec 4, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 4, 2025
Event ID
97361
Slug
how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-by-june-30
Markets
9
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"slug": "how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-by-june-30",
"title": "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?",
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"question": "Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?",
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{
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"question": "Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?",
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