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How many different countries will Iran strike in March?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will be counted as Israel. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
how-many-different-countries-will-iran-strike-in-march
Volume
269.2K
24h volume
48.1K
1w volume
204.9K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
63.1K
Liquidity CLOB
63.1K
Start
Feb 28, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 28, 2026
Resolution source
https://images.jpost.com/image/upload/f_auto,fl_lossy/q_auto/c_fill,g_faces:center,h_720,w_1280/669119
Event ID
236918
Slug
how-many-different-countries-will-iran-strike-in-march
Markets
10
Tags
Raw event data
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}- Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?Vol 39.7KLiq 10.5KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran strike eight countries in March?Vol 16.8KLiq 7.9KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran strike seven countries in March?Vol 20.1KLiq 8.6KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran strike five countries in March?Vol 25.5KLiq 8.7KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran strike six countries in March?Vol 36.8KLiq 7.0KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran strike four countries in March?Vol 23.9KLiq 20.5KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran strike three countries in March?Vol 31.6KLiq 0End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike one country in March?Vol 29.4KLiq 0End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike two countries in March?Vol 26.3KLiq 0End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike no countries in March?Vol 19.2KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed