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How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026
Volume
878.6K
24h volume
2.7K
1w volume
61.3K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
82.5K
Liquidity CLOB
82.5K
Start
Nov 13, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 13, 2025
Event ID
79926
Slug
how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026
Markets
16
Raw event data
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}- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Vol 136.8KLiq 4.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?Vol 103.8KLiq 3.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?Vol 280.0KLiq 6.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Vol 23.4KLiq 6.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Vol 20.5KLiq 3.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Vol 27.8KLiq 3.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?Vol 64.2KLiq 8.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Vol 47.7KLiq 5.3KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?Vol 9.2KLiq 3.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?Vol 12.8KLiq 3.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Vol 14.0KLiq 8.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?Vol 34.7KLiq 7.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Vol 42.6KLiq 5.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?Vol 9.3KLiq 7.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 0 countries in 2026?Vol 38.3KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed