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How many different countries will Israel strike in February?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-february
Volume
280.0K
24h volume
24.4K
1w volume
69.5K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
16.9K
Liquidity CLOB
16.9K
Start
Jan 23, 2026
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 23, 2026
Event ID
174922
Slug
how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-february
Markets
4
Raw event data
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}- Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?Vol 113.6KLiq 8.5KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?Vol 38.6KLiq 4.1KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?Vol 21.3KLiq 4.2KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?Vol 106.5KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed