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How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
how-many-different-countries-will-the-us-strike-in-2026
Volume
251.8K
24h volume
12.2K
1w volume
140.5K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
64.8K
Liquidity CLOB
64.8K
Start
Nov 13, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 13, 2025
Event ID
79932
Slug
how-many-different-countries-will-the-us-strike-in-2026
Markets
16
Raw event data
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}- Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Vol 3.8KLiq 2.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?Vol 6.0KLiq 4.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?Vol 4.0KLiq 5.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Vol 11.2KLiq 6.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026?Vol 20.6KLiq 15.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the US strike 1 country in 2026?Vol 60.4KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
- Will the US strike 3 countries in 2026?Vol 58.9KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
- Will the US strike 2 countries in 2026?Vol 31.1KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
- Will the US strike 0 countries in 2026?Vol 9.5KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed