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How many different countries will the US strike in February?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will not qualify, regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. Markets may resolve to "No" as soon as strikes on more than the specified amount of different sovereign UN member states' soil have been confirmed. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the US at the time of market creation will not be counted toward this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
how-many-different-countries-will-the-us-strike-in-february
Volume
567.1K
24h volume
307.3K
1w volume
364.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
639.9K
Liquidity CLOB
639.9K
Start
Jan 31, 2026
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 31, 2026
Event ID
193901
Slug
how-many-different-countries-will-the-us-strike-in-february
Markets
5
Raw event data
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}- Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?Vol 421.5KLiq 639.9KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
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