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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2026
Volume
260.4K
24h volume
9.6K
1w volume
41.9K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
19.4K
Liquidity CLOB
19.4K
Start
Dec 12, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 12, 2025
Event ID
102763
Slug
how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2026
Markets
8
Raw event data
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}- Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Vol 51.2KLiq 3.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Vol 45.6KLiq 2.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Vol 29.7KLiq 2.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Vol 119.7KLiq 2.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Vol 7.1KLiq 2.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Vol 2.2KLiq 2.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Vol 2.6KLiq 2.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Vol 2.3KLiq 2.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book