Loading event…
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
Ticker
how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025
Volume
8.2M
24h volume
83.7K
1w volume
933.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
272.1K
Liquidity CLOB
272.1K
Start
Apr 15, 2025
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 15, 2025
Event ID
22862
Slug
how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025
Markets
6
Raw event data
{
"id": "22862",
"ticker": "how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025",
"slug": "how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025",
"title": "How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?",
"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)\n\nIf the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. \n\nThe resolution source will be the Treasury Department.\n",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-04-15T22:26:33.717413Z",
"creationDate": "2025-04-15T22:26:33.71741Z",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 272112.35233,
"volume": 8168467.413892,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2025-04-15T21:37:22.198027Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T08:11:24.745987Z",
"competitive": 0.8309782026107673,
"volume24hr": 83697.48578800003,
"volume1wk": 933152.1331980013,
"volume1mo": 5163567.210999997,
"volume1yr": 8148664.874407016,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 272112.35233,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef100",
"commentCount": 555,
"markets": [
{
"id": "537484",
"question": "Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?",
"conditionId": "0x6acea3596be0a8126e8658d39ecc1ac44bee1246c162e51a8062b380bcf147c2",
"slug": "will-the-us-collect-less-than-100b-in-revenue-in-2025",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "24265.79475",
"startDate": "2025-04-15T22:23:02.177852Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)\n\nIf the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. \n\nThe resolution source will be the Treasury Department.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.951\", \"0.049\"]",
"volume": "1763536.20928",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-04-15T21:37:22.955571Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T08:10:47.349972Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "<$100b",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef100",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 1763536.20928,
"liquidityNum": 24265.79475,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2025-04-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 21346.59325700002,
"volume1wk": 289428.3149620005,
"volume1mo": 939296.3294389986,
"volume1yr": 1758669.4998580148,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"82901799715930045311809212542225092826839455972178920747166234033810084508110\", \"2067891916326150127826753884863730268931932594834881748788499812590988545417\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 21346.59325700002,
"volume1wkClob": 289428.3149620005,
"volume1moClob": 939296.3294389986,
"volume1yrClob": 1758669.4998580148,
"volumeClob": 1763536.20928,
"liquidityClob": 24265.79475,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x79a5f973efcf8e9f1b1baf227112495090f9f264c9eee5207acaceafdd396d92",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-04-15T22:21:55Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8309782026107673,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "47866",
"conditionId": "0x6acea3596be0a8126e8658d39ecc1ac44bee1246c162e51a8062b380bcf147c2",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 3,
"startDate": "2025-12-05",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0065,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.061,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.3855,
"lastTradePrice": 0.952,
"bestBid": 0.95,
"bestAsk": 0.952,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "537485",
"question": "Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?",
"conditionId": "0xfd94efe3bbd624fb6577ad51cf5639dcbbcd0eb5a6f03543d98a8e4fe58af27a",
"slug": "will-the-us-collect-between-100b-and-200b-in-revenue-in-2025",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "58539.16128",
"startDate": "2025-04-15T22:23:23.737338Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)\n\nIf the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. \n\nThe resolution source will be the Treasury Department.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]",
"volume": "1500410.549378",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-04-15T21:37:23.418954Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T08:10:42.141744Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "$100–200b",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef101",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 1500410.549378,
"liquidityNum": 58539.16128,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2025-04-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 12353.737307000003,
"volume1wk": 191092.41225000017,
"volume1mo": 668525.9755649997,
"volume1yr": 1491372.5516620087,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"56943889421369223313864561268386407584816988844238380390936659020238520433523\", \"29795694034265723490033787182308468787841029434655005675103532957362215624118\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 12353.737307000003,
"volume1wkClob": 191092.41225000017,
"volume1moClob": 668525.9755649997,
"volume1yrClob": 1491372.5516620087,
"volumeClob": 1500410.549378,
"liquidityClob": 58539.16128,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x847d7acfc643b5639939f48ffb0d911884a799a1f731036abe73fd64958ae6cd",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-04-15T22:22:15Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8114749043271088,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "21229",
"conditionId": "0xfd94efe3bbd624fb6577ad51cf5639dcbbcd0eb5a6f03543d98a8e4fe58af27a",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 3,
"startDate": "2025-04-15",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.006,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0135,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.1365,
"lastTradePrice": 0.019,
"bestBid": 0.017,
"bestAsk": 0.019,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "537486",
"question": "Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?",
"conditionId": "0x7130b8d9bb59393ede189911ba57783debc1900dffb8143c3cb0027952e2f7df",
"slug": "will-the-us-collect-between-200b-and-500b-in-revenue-in-2025",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "48960.80136",
"startDate": "2025-04-15T22:23:51.621015Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)\n\nIf the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. \n\nThe resolution source will be the Treasury Department.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.027\", \"0.973\"]",
"volume": "894852.568133",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-04-15T21:37:23.763802Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T08:11:13.169215Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "$200–500b",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef102",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 894852.568133,
"liquidityNum": 48960.80136,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2025-04-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 21585.292224000004,
"volume1wk": 134441.9090410002,
"volume1mo": 410423.7823379987,
"volume1yr": 893379.1397860002,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"19180751334892649957685662514970856594118361572000181281162861811532650604260\", \"50221315964000194764695024582522009520159992363520263771661265416131198909217\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 21585.292224000004,
"volume1wkClob": 134441.9090410002,
"volume1moClob": 410423.7823379987,
"volume1yrClob": 893379.1397860002,
"volumeClob": 894852.568133,
"liquidityClob": 48960.80136,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x3c0ce00e691fda7205e4970d4c337b35d689f8e9d776aab502cb656fcf080632",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-04-15T22:22:41Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8171743907352036,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "21228",
"conditionId": "0x7130b8d9bb59393ede189911ba57783debc1900dffb8143c3cb0027952e2f7df",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 3,
"startDate": "2025-04-15",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.048,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.238,
"lastTradePrice": 0.027,
"bestBid": 0.026,
"bestAsk": 0.028,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "537487",
"question": "Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?",
"conditionId": "0x07c96dbd0f70e5a27a0e15c22042abcc57bc6acc7f740f7935e0a08cde5e5138",
"slug": "will-the-us-collect-between-500b-and-1t-in-revenue-in-2025",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "25924.09863",
"startDate": "2025-04-15T22:24:07.509458Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)\n\nIf the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. \n\nThe resolution source will be the Treasury Department.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",
"volume": "2603689.743793",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-04-15T21:37:24.104241Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T08:10:33.469987Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "$500b–1t",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef103",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 2603689.743793,
"liquidityNum": 25924.09863,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2025-04-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 9971.775,
"volume1wk": 112025.28084100016,
"volume1mo": 2232459.4483200023,
"volume1yr": 2601260.4217930017,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"14642427631762357507939608294887050551300827907746951519205602696553287464979\", \"107108677406570769174644732556082858255108204503861334566787299375848455720534\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 9971.775,
"volume1wkClob": 112025.28084100016,
"volume1moClob": 2232459.4483200023,
"volume1yrClob": 2601260.4217930017,
"volumeClob": 2603689.743793,
"liquidityClob": 25924.09863,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xf31a251132beaff0f504c1882ee020242b39100cc530d7fbf12a6932f6029b64",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-04-15T22:22:59Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8009597099244316,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0075,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestBid": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.002,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "537488",
"question": "Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?",
"conditionId": "0xdc0a4c64465923ef51a0609b706ac5f23a56b590b7e660ba5303bded0d7a90b7",
"slug": "will-the-us-collect-between-1t-and-2t-in-revenue-in-2025",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "53348.91237",
"startDate": "2025-04-15T22:24:27.908818Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)\n\nIf the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. \n\nThe resolution source will be the Treasury Department.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "749391.146739",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-04-15T21:37:24.457281Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T08:10:39.517367Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "$1–2t",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef104",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 749391.146739,
"liquidityNum": 53348.91237,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2025-04-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 7427.688000000002,
"volume1wk": 122616.95280900024,
"volume1mo": 489287.2275089992,
"volume1yr": 748431.3867389953,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"55230883696690777055093667580992529716053651794118931424366317904049903435707\", \"36160875054349860297241932396729439694013343352900043316198670668357407504633\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 7427.688000000002,
"volume1wkClob": 122616.95280900024,
"volume1moClob": 489287.2275089992,
"volume1yrClob": 748431.3867389953,
"volumeClob": 749391.146739,
"liquidityClob": 53348.91237,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x4ecccd58bcda7e9ff801c20440ddaefc558c21a99a28e9e4c3340d897247d389",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-04-15T22:23:21Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8003199679231757,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0025,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "537489",
"question": "Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?",
"conditionId": "0xe8cf98d6f3d813c0b6e00f702c1dfb074304357cbea07e9277949a39bd1cfa09",
"slug": "will-the-us-collect-more-than-2t-in-revenue-in-2025",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "61073.58394",
"startDate": "2025-04-15T22:24:51.808208Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025-lUbEhM1AK-xa.jpg",
"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)\n\nIf the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. \n\nThe resolution source will be the Treasury Department.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",
"volume": "656587.196569",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-04-15T21:37:24.894749Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T08:10:31.775379Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "$2t+",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef105",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 656587.196569,
"liquidityNum": 61073.58394,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2025-04-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 11012.400000000009,
"volume1wk": 83547.26329499995,
"volume1mo": 423574.447828999,
"volume1yr": 655551.8745689954,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"18819282518983024340055565234868223423589909363920183730949900798929318964595\", \"6072714739533147140307902291188757966105333930587602693574106708760777759738\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 11012.400000000009,
"volume1wkClob": 83547.26329499995,
"volume1moClob": 423574.447828999,
"volume1yrClob": 655551.8745689954,
"volumeClob": 656587.196569,
"liquidityClob": 61073.58394,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf153b178be18ffa189c72c6d0ff3409579e60fc342aea7d9bd17811a6f2ef100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x065ac82a70fba3917a8e8ed177150cb76baa5168c0983dfe6cad53ba1f45e407",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-04-15T22:23:41Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8009597099244316,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.001,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestBid": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.002,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "101761",
"label": "Trade War",
"slug": "trade-war",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-02-02T19:17:11.9689Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:06:52.305831Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101191",
"label": "Trump Presidency",
"slug": "trump-presidency",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-11-06T04:59:43.354523Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:42.741523Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
"slug": "trump",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:05:42.017208Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}- Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Vol 1.8MLiq 24.3KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Vol 894.9KLiq 49.0KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Vol 1.5MLiq 58.5KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?Vol 2.6MLiq 25.9KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?Vol 656.6KLiq 61.1KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?Vol 749.4KLiq 53.3KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book