
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Ticker
iran-leader-end-of-2026
Volume
251.1K
24h volume
53.9K
1w volume
251.1K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
382.6K
Liquidity CLOB
382.6K
Start
Mar 1, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 1, 2026
Event ID
237598
Slug
iran-leader-end-of-2026
Markets
123
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"slug": "iran-leader-end-of-2026",
"title": "Iran leader end of 2026?",
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"creationDate": "2026-03-01T00:28:20.720382Z",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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"question": "Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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"question": "Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]",
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{
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"question": "Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
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{
"id": "1469745",
"question": "Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"slug": "will-navid-shomali-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "10451.32629",
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"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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{
"id": "1469746",
"question": "Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x2883a5f83ea4b394d1b0acae4179f4ed4cb35111c9b996bb5099927bb846e2ea",
"slug": "will-mustafa-hijri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "9888.91672",
"startDate": "2026-03-01T00:16:19.422256Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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{
"id": "1469747",
"question": "Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x73d9b98f619d738cca001cfde25654d409a132f0eb565ae98972b62b123a4da0",
"slug": "will-ali-motahari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "11008.2233",
"startDate": "2026-03-01T00:16:26.537743Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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"volume": "3053.7303300000003",
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{
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"question": "Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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{
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"question": "Will bi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will bo be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will bp be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will bs be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will bt be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"question": "Will bu be head of state in Iran end of 2026?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",
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