
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
israel-strike-on-yemen-by-593
Volume
344.0K
24h volume
8.3K
1w volume
37.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
8.7K
Liquidity CLOB
8.7K
Start
Jan 6, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 6, 2026
Event ID
146944
Slug
israel-strike-on-yemen-by-593
Markets
2
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