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Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
israel-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by
Volume
4.8M
24h volume
11.8K
1w volume
815.3K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
21.7K
Liquidity CLOB
21.7K
Start
Jun 24, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jun 24, 2025
Event ID
28628
Slug
israel-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by
Markets
11
Raw event data
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}- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Vol 167.7KLiq 9.5KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Vol 1.1MLiq 12.2KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Vol 1.1MLiq —End Dec 31, 2025Closed
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Vol 839.7KLiq —End Oct 31, 2025Closed
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?Vol 431.5KLiq —End Sep 1, 2025Closed
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Vol 410.4KLiq —End Jul 16, 2025Closed
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Vol 334.3KLiq —End Aug 31, 2025Closed
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?Vol 209.1KLiq —End Jul 16, 2025Closed
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?Vol 157.5KLiq —End Jul 31, 2025Closed
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by January 31, 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by Februray 28, 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book