JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

Name: JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
Start: 2026-03-24T22:10:07.100545Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by
Volume
319.6K
24h volume
8.3K
1w volume
111.4K
Open interest
69.5K
Liquidity
34.1K
Liquidity CLOB
34.1K
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 24, 2026
Event ID
304398
Slug
jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by
Markets
Tags
Foreign Policy Iran Geopolitics Vance Iran Ceasefire Politics Trump
Raw event data
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    "context_description": "Vice President JD Vance has pursued indirect diplomacy with Iran through intermediaries like Pakistan and Oman amid ongoing US-Iran conflict, including recent airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and a key broker facilitating talks. As recently as early April, Trump directed Vance to signal ceasefire openness conditional on demands such as reopening the Strait of Hormuz, though Tehran rejected proposed Pakistan-mediated sessions and insists on Vance over envoys like Kushner or Witkoff. No verifiable direct meeting with Iranian officials has occurred, stalling progress despite Iran's stated preference for Vance. Traders weigh escalation risks against potential breakthroughs before the April 30 resolution date, with upcoming Omani or neutral-venue talks possible if red lines align.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-05T14:06:02.543Z"
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