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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
largest-company-end-of-april-738
Volume
322.6K
24h volume
37.8K
1w volume
296.0K
Open interest
64.2K
Liquidity
274.1K
Liquidity CLOB
274.1K
Start
Mar 3, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 3, 2026
Event ID
242293
Slug
largest-company-end-of-april-738
Markets
28
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"context_description": "NVIDIA's 93.5% implied probability as the largest company by market cap at April's end stems from its explosive AI-driven rally, with shares surging 200% in the past year on record GPU demand for data centers, briefly eclipsing Apple's $2.9 trillion valuation intraday last week amid blowout Q1 earnings. Trader consensus hinges on sustained Blackwell platform hype and hyperscaler capex commitments from Meta and Microsoft, cementing NVIDIA's lead over stagnant Apple (facing iPhone softness in China) and distant rivals. Realistic challenges include a post-earnings pullback if guidance disappoints or an Apple services beat sparking a rebound, though historical AI momentum favors NVIDIA holding the throne.",
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