Loading event…

Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
macron-out-in-2025
Volume
1.8M
24h volume
2.3K
1w volume
59.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
20.9K
Liquidity CLOB
20.9K
Start
Jan 3, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 3, 2025
Event ID
16263
Slug
macron-out-in-2025
Markets
3
{
"id": "16263",
"ticker": "macron-out-in-2025",
"slug": "macron-out-in-2025",
"title": "Macron out by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-01-03T19:35:04.095066Z",
"creationDate": "2025-01-03T19:35:04.095064Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-qFUc7czZE3Ev.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-qFUc7czZE3Ev.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 20929.86038,
"volume": 1823242.670263,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2025-01-03T19:28:39.855536Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T10:35:49.823992Z",
"competitive": 0.8297316067171752,
"volume24hr": 2303.946715,
"volume1wk": 59160.19829099999,
"volume1mo": 464417.8100970002,
"volume1yr": 1823068.8702630019,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 20929.86038,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 86,
"markets": [
{
"id": "517231",
"question": "Macron out in 2025?",
"conditionId": "0x6301809524e73edb9ab1bd180101ae6d9588ba78075a64c479f334a6d2a12975",
"slug": "macron-out-in-2025-834",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2025-01-03T19:33:19.059Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron+tight+lip.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "1386219.767204",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-01-03T19:28:40.944309Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:38:53.600226Z",
"closedTime": "2026-01-01 09:08:43+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2025",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x18820cef6039c99d7224dfeed8874687db7e2f43ae5e0145f68037586ccf8c14",
"umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T09:08:43Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 1386219.767204,
"endDateIso": "2025-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-01-03",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 11326.406082,
"volume1mo": 198475.67219500005,
"volume1yr": 1386219.7672040015,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"76829103262452682809495706312303596619517678311126635179788744002179270771878\", \"64363447502273727810951885622300334984823192995733592399845260605779604346480\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 11326.406082,
"volume1moClob": 198475.67219500005,
"volume1yrClob": 1386219.7672040015,
"volumeClob": 1386219.767204,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-01-03T19:31:51Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.018,
"lastTradePrice": 1,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "597964",
"question": "Macron out by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xda5c517dd5b78c80dec8ceb08ca4f466317633487827d7290332b4851cc4a4fa",
"slug": "macron-out-by-june-30-2026-273",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "20929.86038",
"startDate": "2025-09-14T21:21:35.401Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.047\", \"0.953\"]",
"volume": "231398.395637",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-14T21:01:51.751915Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T10:35:20.887473Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "June 30, 2026",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xadaa1a42dd3cfc0037b06a4cee903c3937092015864dde0a60c1133800c21b94",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 231398.395637,
"liquidityNum": 20929.86038,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-14",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 2303.946715,
"volume1wk": 15925.993594,
"volume1mo": 60317.630480000014,
"volume1yr": 231224.5956370001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"16201530957950630406397949502319734794139620443510795733205872225099141120819\", \"22488814055465212843401871684243737932656687199587127613893702721105723939237\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 2303.946715,
"volume1wkClob": 15925.993594,
"volume1moClob": 60317.630480000014,
"volume1yrClob": 231224.5956370001,
"volumeClob": 231398.395637,
"liquidityClob": 20929.86038,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-14T21:21:14Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8297316067171752,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "37254",
"conditionId": "0xda5c517dd5b78c80dec8ceb08ca4f466317633487827d7290332b4851cc4a4fa",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 2,
"startDate": "2025-10-07",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0125,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.013,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0175,
"lastTradePrice": 0.047,
"bestBid": 0.046,
"bestAsk": 0.048,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-14T21:20:46.678833Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "623939",
"question": "Macron out by October 31, 2025?",
"conditionId": "0xdc7ff8e7d1bf22e6b9f372b3122bf553ed7bfedebc500e76e61aab35d9ebdb8e",
"slug": "macron-out-by-october-31-2025",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2025-10-31T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2025-10-06T20:49:31.147004Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-by-october-31-2025-dbY7JWMjONlK.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron+tight+lip.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "205624.507422",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-06T20:46:32.644174Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:38:53.55561Z",
"closedTime": "2025-11-01 06:28:10+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "October 31, 2025",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xf90654d417e4581fb73cf2a93e3a4381ec7b0afa06dc1db911cd3ffd015c1a15",
"umaEndDate": "2025-11-01T06:28:10Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 205624.507422,
"endDateIso": "2025-10-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-06",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 31907.798614999996,
"volume1mo": 205624.50742200014,
"volume1yr": 205624.50742200014,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"34035142221712364354899416126623416304962260767590062792033879920204802585564\", \"63517326976374375632630658298716704665562106331315856506724933470892403292808\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 31907.798614999996,
"volume1moClob": 205624.50742200014,
"volume1yrClob": 205624.50742200014,
"volumeClob": 205624.507422,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-06T20:49:08Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.007,
"lastTradePrice": 1,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-06T20:48:37.007166Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "1378",
"label": "France",
"slug": "france",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 00:21:54.303+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T00:21:54.404Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:25:01.108915Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101619",
"label": "Macron",
"slug": "macron",
"createdAt": "2025-01-03T19:28:40.482628Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:21:20.934747Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101970",
"label": "World",
"slug": "world",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:04:41.800728Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101588",
"label": "2025 Predictions",
"slug": "2025-predictions",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-12-30T20:11:13.144816Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:03:11.674429Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100453",
"label": "resign",
"slug": "resign",
"createdAt": "2024-09-12T19:52:49.084783Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:22:41.059681Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}