Military action against Iran ends by...?

Name: Military action against Iran ends by...?
Start: 2026-03-13T20:34:26.710638Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
military-action-against-iran-ends-by
Volume
303.2K
24h volume
36.2K
1w volume
130.1K
Open interest
45.1K
Liquidity
35.7K
Liquidity CLOB
35.7K
Start
Mar 13, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 13, 2026
Event ID
258906
Slug
military-action-against-iran-ends-by
Markets
Tags
Middle East U.S. x Iran Politics Iran Geopolitics Israel x Iran strike
Raw event data
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  "slug": "military-action-against-iran-ends-by",
  "title": "Military action against Iran ends by...?",
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  "resolutionSource": "",
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  "creationDate": "2026-03-13T20:34:26.710624Z",
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  "createdAt": "2026-03-10T14:08:04.647727Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-01T12:39:55.11806Z",
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  "negRisk": false,
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      "question": "Military action against Iran ends by March 12, 2026?",
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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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      "createdAt": "2026-03-10T14:08:06.892385Z",
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      "id": "1551558",
      "question": "Military action against Iran ends by March 16, 2026?",
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      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-13T20:14:12.432429Z",
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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-10T14:08:10.257857Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-18T13:32:35.921667Z",
      "closedTime": "2026-03-18 00:03:49+00",
      "new": false,
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      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
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    {
      "id": "1551562",
      "question": "Military action against Iran ends by March 20, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x41b4793ac50f8f2fc6e44ce4b75e0f78494862429faeba639ef30e77d0064225",
      "slug": "military-action-against-iran-ends-by-march-20-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-13T20:27:08.602296Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/military-action-against-iran-ends-on-FXbnxn2PkUY3.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. \n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "createdAt": "2026-03-10T14:08:13.522968Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-23T18:53:45.679151Z",
      "closedTime": "2026-03-22 22:17:31+00",
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    {
      "id": "1551566",
      "question": "Military action against Iran ends by March 24, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x24f9eb245c7bf9001550aac8da3a25bec5432aca4365714d29e40df9d713704a",
      "slug": "military-action-against-iran-ends-by-march-24-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. \n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "createdAt": "2026-03-10T14:08:16.683457Z",
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      "id": "1551570",
      "question": "Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?",
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      "slug": "military-action-against-iran-ends-by-march-28-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-13T20:02:00.846852Z",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. \n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "24484.654281000006",
      "active": true,
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      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-10T14:08:19.868725Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-29T04:17:44.193563Z",
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Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?
Vol 6.4KLiq 7.3KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?
Vol 8.7KLiq 7.0KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Vol 15.2KLiq 5.0KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Vol 24.8KLiq 8.1KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?
Vol 25.4KLiq 8.1KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?
Vol 121.1KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?
Vol 42.6KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?
Vol 24.5KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 26, 2026?
Vol 20.0KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 27, 2026?
Vol 14.5KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 12, 2026?
Vol —Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 16, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 20, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 24, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 11, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 15, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 19, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 13, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 17, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 21, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 25, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 14, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 18, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by March 22, 2026?
Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed