Military action against Iran ends on...?

Name: Military action against Iran ends on...?
Start: 2026-03-27T18:23:41.282847Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action through April 30." For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
military-action-against-iran-ends-on-127
Volume
307.0K
24h volume
83.5K
1w volume
199.8K
Open interest
66.3K
Liquidity
244.8K
Liquidity CLOB
244.8K
Start
Mar 27, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 27, 2026
Event ID
303923
Slug
military-action-against-iran-ends-on-127
Markets
Tags
strike Military Strikes U.S. x Iran Israel x Iran Iran Politics Middle East Geopolitics Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Raw event data
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  "title": "Military action against Iran ends on...?",
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  "resolutionSource": "",
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  "creationDate": "2026-03-27T18:23:41.282771Z",
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  "openInterest": 66328.1635,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-24T17:17:25.683771Z",
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      "id": "1706392",
      "question": "Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026?",
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    {
      "id": "1706394",
      "question": "Military action against Iran ends on April 4, 2026?",
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}
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Vol 28.0KLiq 17.5KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Vol 4.7KLiq 8.7KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?
Vol 14.8KLiq 8.1KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?
Vol 5.9KLiq 15.3KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?
Vol 4.9KLiq 17.9KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?
Vol 12.9KLiq 11.2KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?
Vol 4.1KLiq 7.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?
Vol 7.3KLiq 13.9KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?
Vol 4.7KLiq 12.0KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?
Vol 4.3KLiq 7.6KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?
Vol 3.5KLiq 13.7KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?
Vol 4.0KLiq 12.3KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?
Vol 3.9KLiq 9.1KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?
Vol 4.0KLiq 7.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?
Vol 4.0KLiq 12.1KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?
Vol 4.3KLiq 8.2KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?
Vol 4.0KLiq 13.7KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?
Vol 4.0KLiq 7.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?
Vol 3.8KLiq 8.3KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?
Vol 3.8KLiq 9.2KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?
Vol 4.0KLiq 8.1KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?
Vol 3.6KLiq 8.0KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?
Vol 4.3KLiq 7.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?
Vol 3.7KLiq 7.1KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?
Vol 4.1KLiq 7.5KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends on April 6, 2026?
Vol 43.9KLiq 0End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026?
Vol 24.2KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?
Vol 23.5KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends on April 1, 2026?
Vol 21.6KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026?
Vol 18.0KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends on April 4, 2026?
Vol 16.4KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends before April 2026?
Vol 8.6KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed