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Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: December 9–10, 2025; January 27–28, 2026; and March 17-18, 2026. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm If no statement is released for the March 2026 meeting by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ticker
next-three-fed-decisions-847
Volume
948.3K
24h volume
18.8K
1w volume
198.9K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
139.8K
Liquidity CLOB
139.8K
Start
Nov 4, 2025
End
Mar 18, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 4, 2025
Event ID
72960
Slug
next-three-fed-decisions-847
Markets
9
Raw event data
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"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: December 9–10, 2025; January 27–28, 2026; and March 17-18, 2026.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm\n\nIf no statement is released for the March 2026 meeting by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
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}- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Vol 173.3KLiq 72.7KEnd Mar 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Vol 122.9KLiq 52.1KEnd Mar 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Vol 226.6KLiq 14.9KEnd Mar 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Vol 198.3KLiq —End Mar 18, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Vol 93.6KLiq —End Mar 18, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Vol 77.6KLiq —End Mar 18, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Vol 19.5KLiq —End Mar 18, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Vol 19.3KLiq —End Mar 18, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Vol 17.1KLiq —End Mar 18, 2026Closed