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Nuclear weapon detonation by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between November 5, 2025 ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth or in space will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Ticker
nuclear-weapon-detonation-by-562
Volume
315.3K
24h volume
8.5K
1w volume
43.5K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
32.2K
Liquidity CLOB
32.2K
Start
Nov 7, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 7, 2025
Event ID
43053
Slug
nuclear-weapon-detonation-by-562
Markets
3
Raw event data
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}- Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Vol 66.1KLiq 9.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Vol 143.8KLiq 14.0KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Vol 105.4KLiq 8.8KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book