
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Ticker
of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-day-5
Volume
550.4K
24h volume
550.4K
1w volume
550.4K
Open interest
148.7K
Liquidity
122.4K
Liquidity CLOB
122.4K
Start
Mar 25, 2026
End
Mar 26, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 25, 2026
Event ID
306964
Slug
of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-day-5
Markets
7
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"id": "306964",
"ticker": "of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-day-5",
"slug": "of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-day-5",
"title": "# of views of next MrBeast video day 5?",
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"creationDate": "2026-03-25T14:57:50.848566Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T00:00:00Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
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"endDate": "2026-03-26T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "7657.53897",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nNote: This market refers to the video titled \"Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat\", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.9145\", \"0.0855\"]",
"volume": "95388.81721999994",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
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"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "75–76M",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
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{
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"question": "Will MrBeast's next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 5?",
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"liquidity": "9532.5133",
"startDate": "2026-03-25T14:55:31.308219Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nNote: This market refers to the video titled \"Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat\", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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{
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"question": "Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5?",
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"liquidity": "5998.6148",
"startDate": "2026-03-25T14:55:39.274101Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nNote: This market refers to the video titled \"Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat\", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.",
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{
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"question": "Will MrBeast's next video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 5?",
"conditionId": "0x560b33cea8948c6c76882566d30193aa849201f40cc6ed3087ea79582f6a386b",
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"endDate": "2026-03-26T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "17935.22753",
"startDate": "2026-03-25T14:55:45.402867Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nNote: This market refers to the video titled \"Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat\", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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"volume": "98066.35859700004",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-25T14:23:13.946576Z",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the next MrBeast video reaching 75–76 million views by day 5 (91.1% implied probability), driven by his unmatched YouTube algorithm dominance and consistent viral challenge formula that delivers massive initial traction. Recent uploads like \"$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!\" and similar spectacles have routinely hit 70–80 million views within five days, fueled by thumbnail optimization, cross-platform hype on TikTok and Instagram, and subscriber push from his 300M+ base. Current growth trajectories from the just-released video mirror this pattern, with early 24-hour views exceeding 50M. Upsets could stem from algorithm glitches, competing viral events, or production delays slowing momentum, though historical precedents make <75M (2.9%) a longshot barring black swan issues. Watch for day 3–4 velocity updates as key swing factors.",
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