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Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Ticker
portugal-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-second-round
Volume
3.0M
24h volume
1.8K
1w volume
108.8K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
259.8K
Liquidity CLOB
259.8K
Start
Jan 20, 2026
End
Feb 8, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 20, 2026
Event ID
175385
Slug
portugal-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-second-round
Markets
8
Raw event data
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}- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?Vol 307.9KLiq 9.3KEnd Feb 8, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Vol 576.3KLiq 30.8KEnd Feb 8, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Vol 565.1KLiq 92.2KEnd Feb 8, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?Vol 451.0KLiq 9.8KEnd Feb 8, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?Vol 387.2KLiq 46.7KEnd Feb 8, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?Vol 371.4KLiq 14.5KEnd Feb 8, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will André Ventura win the second round?Vol 299.7KLiq 56.9KEnd Feb 8, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will any other result happen in the second round of the Portugese Presidential Election?Vol 0Liq 0End Feb 8, 2026OpenOrder book