
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
precipitation-in-seattle-in-march
Volume
343.0K
24h volume
10.5K
1w volume
47.4K
Open interest
63.8K
Liquidity
157.9K
Liquidity CLOB
157.9K
Start
Feb 26, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 26, 2026
Event ID
232662
Slug
precipitation-in-seattle-in-march
Markets
7
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"slug": "precipitation-in-seattle-in-march",
"title": "Precipitation in Seattle in March?",
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"resolutionSource": "",
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"creationDate": "2026-02-26T23:25:22.323368Z",
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"question": "Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?",
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"liquidity": "28775.78124",
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{
"id": "1448079",
"question": "Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?",
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"liquidity": "23763.01003",
"startDate": "2026-02-26T23:23:14.677142Z",
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"question": "Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?",
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"question": "Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 5-6 inches of precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac) for March 2026, with 99.6% implied probability, driven by official National Weather Service daily climate summaries confirming totals in this range—exceeding the March climatological average of 3.7 inches amid persistent low-pressure systems and regional atmospheric rivers fueled by lingering weak La Niña conditions. Final observations through March 31 showed negligible additional rainfall, solidifying the measurement. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions during NOAA quality control, though such adjustments are minimal for established airport gauge readings; the official monthly climate report, expected imminently, will provide final verification.",
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