
Prediction market · Polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ticker
quebec-general-election-winner
Volume
378.8K
24h volume
1.4K
1w volume
34.4K
Open interest
33.0K
Liquidity
91.2K
Liquidity CLOB
91.2K
Start
Dec 2, 2025
End
Oct 5, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 2, 2025
Event ID
95203
Slug
quebec-general-election-winner
Markets
33
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.550256Z",
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"startTime": "2026-10-05T12:00:00Z",
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"countryName": "Quebec",
"electionType": "National Assembly",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly in the general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting seat projections like 338Canada's estimate of 63 PQ seats versus 47 for the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ), despite recent Léger polls tying them at 33% vote intentions among decided voters. The PQ's strength among francophone voters (41%) and regions outside Greater Montreal—where PLQ leads at 44%—drives this edge, amid the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ)'s collapse to 9% following Premier François Legault's January resignation and ongoing leadership race. Minor parties like PCQ (15%), QS (9%), and PVQ trail far behind in projections.",
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