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Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Ticker
texas-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory
Volume
334.8K
24h volume
104.7K
1w volume
137.1K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
48.6K
Liquidity CLOB
48.6K
Start
Feb 4, 2026
End
Mar 3, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 4, 2026
Event ID
197860
Slug
texas-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory
Markets
7
Raw event data
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}- Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?Vol 66.0KLiq 12.6KEnd Mar 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?Vol 85.0KLiq 3.5KEnd Mar 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?Vol 89.7KLiq 8.3KEnd Mar 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?Vol 19.3KLiq 3.7KEnd Mar 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?Vol 53.9KLiq 11.7KEnd Mar 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 5% or more?Vol 20.8KLiq 8.9KEnd Mar 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will another outcome occur in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary?Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 3, 2026OpenOrder book