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Prediction market · Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Italy.
Ticker
uef-bih-ita-2026-03-31
Volume
731.4K
24h volume
592.2K
1w volume
731.4K
Open interest
563.2K
Liquidity
1.1M
Liquidity CLOB
1.1M
Start
Mar 27, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 27, 2026
Resolution source
fifa.com
Event ID
314247
Slug
uef-bih-ita-2026-03-31
Markets
3
{
"id": "314247",
"ticker": "uef-bih-ita-2026-03-31",
"slug": "uef-bih-ita-2026-03-31",
"title": "Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy",
"description": "This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Italy.",
"resolutionSource": "fifa.com",
"startDate": "2026-03-27T15:52:22.110957Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-27T15:52:22.110949Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T18:45:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uef.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uef.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
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"restricted": true,
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"volume": 731376.764767,
"openInterest": 563229.3193079999,
"createdAt": "2026-03-27T15:45:01.436009Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-31T17:28:25.155816Z",
"competitive": 0.9669075878072954,
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"volume1mo": 731376.7647670006,
"volume1yr": 731376.7647670006,
"enableOrderBook": true,
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"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x0095a18590cce147c8317d125ae21dd4175df4c612032b004270fa1a2d7f8600",
"commentCount": 0,
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{
"id": "1743550",
"question": "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?",
"conditionId": "0x311efcd98a7f6edfd0bcf66a4681f52f4336f2fb06bfe7043f9a545bd1812258",
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"endDate": "2026-03-31T18:45:00Z",
"liquidity": "363370.4578",
"startDate": "2026-03-27T15:49:02.466759Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uef.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uef.png",
"description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 31, 2026\nIf Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",
"volume": "234387.9974350001",
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-31T17:27:59.590681Z",
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"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Bosnia and Herzegovina",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-27",
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"gameStartTime": "2026-03-31 18:45:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "2",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-27T15:46:28.954962Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
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{
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"question": "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?",
"conditionId": "0x7adc4c4da7b43cd3b63621042933ced787dadddd76aa4f319794a5503d3a899a",
"slug": "uef-bih-ita-2026-03-31-draw",
"resolutionSource": "fifa.com",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T18:45:00Z",
"liquidity": "262901.8382",
"startDate": "2026-03-27T15:49:09.368043Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uef.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uef.png",
"description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 31, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",
"volume": "103874.80902899985",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-27T15:45:01.63945Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-31T17:27:34.079997Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Draw (Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy)",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x0095a18590cce147c8317d125ae21dd4175df4c612032b004270fa1a2d7f8601",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
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"volumeNum": 103874.80902899985,
"liquidityNum": 262901.8382,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-27",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 98963.62360000002,
"volume1wk": 103874.80902900001,
"volume1mo": 103874.80902900001,
"volume1yr": 103874.80902900001,
"gameStartTime": "2026-03-31 18:45:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "2",
"volume24hrClob": 98963.62360000002,
"volume1wkClob": 103874.80902900001,
"volume1moClob": 103874.80902900001,
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
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"negRiskMarketID": "0x0095a18590cce147c8317d125ae21dd4175df4c612032b004270fa1a2d7f8600",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x881f36dae305cea53d499c58eb023c361d61b48e2158ebf6ef32fee59244a05c",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-27T15:47:47Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9248768757659137,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.22,
"bestBid": 0.21,
"bestAsk": 0.22,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-27T15:46:28.957879Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "sports_fees_v2",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.03,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
},
{
"id": "1743552",
"question": "Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?",
"conditionId": "0x382924384a065a00be31531147a37ad28b27be6ea9c8600a20f4eb879efb0221",
"slug": "uef-bih-ita-2026-03-31-ita",
"resolutionSource": "fifa.com",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T18:45:00Z",
"liquidity": "458576.3617",
"startDate": "2026-03-27T15:49:16.653025Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uef.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uef.png",
"description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 31, 2026\nIf Italy wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.685\", \"0.315\"]",
"volume": "408540.79076",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-27T15:45:01.747396Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-31T17:28:12.426401Z",
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"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Italy",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x0095a18590cce147c8317d125ae21dd4175df4c612032b004270fa1a2d7f8602",
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"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-27",
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"gameStartTime": "2026-03-31 18:45:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"volume1wkClob": 408540.7907600007,
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-27T15:47:55Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9669075878072954,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
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"automaticallyActive": true,
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"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-27T15:46:28.95931Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
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"rate": 0.03,
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"series": [
{
"id": "10243",
"ticker": "uef-qualifiers",
"slug": "uef-qualifiers",
"title": "UEF Qualifiers",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"createdAt": "2025-09-03T03:01:00.280908Z",
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"volume": 3623244.862717997,
"liquidity": 6456049.288,
"commentCount": 763,
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"tags": [
{
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"label": "Sports",
"slug": "sports",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:22.69129Z",
"forceHide": true,
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{
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"label": "Games",
"slug": "games",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-09-23T22:41:37.670714Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.358133Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
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{
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"label": "Soccer",
"slug": "soccer",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-21T16:31:18.953213Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:41.403029Z",
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{
"id": "102544",
"label": "UEF Qualifiers",
"slug": "uef-qualifiers",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-09-03T03:01:58.804143Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.840408Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
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"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"eventDate": "2026-03-31",
"startTime": "2026-03-31T18:45:00Z",
"eventWeek": 27,
"seriesSlug": "uef-qualifiers",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Italy's 68.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus on the Azzurri's historical dominance—four wins in six head-to-heads since Bosnia's 1996 friendly upset—and superior World Cup qualifying form, scoring 23 goals across ten matches. Recent semifinal triumphs shape sentiment: Italy's 2-0 clean-sheet victory over Northern Ireland via Tonali and Kean goals contrasts Bosnia's penalty shootout win against Wales after Dzeko's late equalizer. Bosnia boasts home advantage at hostile Bilino Polje, a full squad with Kolasinac recovered, and veteran Dzeko's aerial threat, elevating draw (21.5%) and upset (11.5%) potential despite Italy's injury concerns—Chiesa and Scamacca out, though Bastoni and Calafiori cleared to feature in an unchanged starting XI.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-31T17:19:03.822Z"
},
"teams": [
{
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"name": "Bosnia and Herzegovina",
"league": "uef",
"record": "0-0-0",
"logo": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/country-flags/bih.png",
"abbreviation": "bih",
"createdAt": "2025-09-02T17:36:58.277207Z",
"updatedAt": "2025-11-12T20:45:47.718871Z",
"providerId": 1089,
"color": "#285CAC"
},
{
"id": 114724,
"name": "Italy",
"league": "uef",
"record": "0-0-0",
"logo": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/country-flags/ita.png",
"abbreviation": "ita",
"createdAt": "2025-09-02T17:36:58.268554Z",
"updatedAt": "2025-11-08T04:28:07.155541Z",
"providerId": 950,
"color": "#008040"
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]
}