
Prediction market · Polymarket
On December 10, 2025, Ukraine hit and disabled "Dashan," a tanker involved in trading Russian oil, as it sailed through Ukraine's exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea to the Russian port of Novorossiysk. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a strike against any tanker in the Black Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a tanker anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. Strikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties, such as Turkey, including the December 2 incident involving the tanker "Midvolga-2,” will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/russian-tanker-struck-off-turkiye-as-ukraine-targets-shadow-fleet). Ship seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the tanker will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-835
Volume
522.3K
24h volume
362.3K
1w volume
495.9K
Open interest
398.1K
Liquidity
5.5K
Liquidity CLOB
5.5K
Start
Jan 13, 2026
End
Apr 15, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 13, 2026
Event ID
160431
Slug
ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-835
Markets
7
{
"id": "160431",
"ticker": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-835",
"slug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-835",
"title": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?",
"description": "On December 10, 2025, Ukraine hit and disabled \"Dashan,\" a tanker involved in trading Russian oil, as it sailed through Ukraine's exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea to the Russian port of Novorossiysk. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a strike against any tanker in the Black Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a tanker anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. \n\nStrikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties, such as Turkey, including the December 2 incident involving the tanker \"Midvolga-2,” will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/russian-tanker-struck-off-turkiye-as-ukraine-targets-shadow-fleet).\n\nShip seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the tanker will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-13T16:04:59.731908Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-13T16:04:59.731906Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-15T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 5504.88911,
"volume": 522333.0945599999,
"openInterest": 398140.536144,
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T21:27:47.298609Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-03T14:19:18.07599Z",
"competitive": 0.5840478518956538,
"volume24hr": 362293.64131900005,
"volume1wk": 495912.08219999995,
"volume1mo": 520477.9475239997,
"volume1yr": 520692.91794399975,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 5504.88911,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1170477",
"question": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 17, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xb53c60a91118cd245f21a1ff2c2fced54754066017f7930ead6fa3ddca9f8f3a",
"slug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-january-17-2026",
"endDate": "2026-01-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-01-13T16:02:57.978118Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"description": "On December 10, 2025, Ukraine hit and disabled \"Dashan,\" a tanker involved in trading Russian oil, as it sailed through Ukraine's exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea to the Russian port of Novorossiysk. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a strike against any tanker in the Black Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a tanker anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. \n\nStrikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties, such as Turkey, including the December 2 incident involving the tanker \"Midvolga-2,” will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/russian-tanker-struck-off-turkiye-as-ukraine-targets-shadow-fleet).\n\nShip seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the tanker will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "22194.284133",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T21:27:48.780759Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:58:37.603466Z",
"closedTime": "2026-01-18 09:40:28+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "January 17",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xcf770fada38643579e3f1ae4e573b6929932e333370d055c624a6c8e4814e5f4",
"umaEndDate": "2026-01-18T09:40:28Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 22194.284133,
"endDateIso": "2026-01-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 22194.284133,
"volume1mo": 22194.284133,
"volume1yr": 22194.284133,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"21273618278447297905451078545873346536721350275610989399202339315465398879295\", \"55548199931433691992829187848064252121558573192378125454330317391507803514981\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 22194.284133,
"volume1moClob": 22194.284133,
"volume1yrClob": 22194.284133,
"volumeClob": 22194.284133,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-13T16:02:35Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.035,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0105,
"lastTradePrice": 0.01,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-13T16:02:04.843701Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1170478",
"question": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x0f3689425c6efe9f23d6b6030ab2c94f3324c6a00d9cad88a70aebab1446031a",
"slug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-january-24-2026",
"endDate": "2026-01-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-01-13T16:02:57.725029Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"description": "On December 10, 2025, Ukraine hit and disabled \"Dashan,\" a tanker involved in trading Russian oil, as it sailed through Ukraine's exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea to the Russian port of Novorossiysk. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a strike against any tanker in the Black Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a tanker anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. \n\nStrikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties, such as Turkey, including the December 2 incident involving the tanker \"Midvolga-2,” will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/russian-tanker-struck-off-turkiye-as-ukraine-targets-shadow-fleet).\n\nShip seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the tanker will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "19145.402698",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T21:27:49.290735Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:58:37.797355Z",
"closedTime": "2026-01-25 09:56:36+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "January 24",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x9bd826a35805c76b36170a218eeec8553ad8fdf1fa7fbfaa2d5e1287864ece84",
"umaEndDate": "2026-01-25T09:56:36Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 19145.402698,
"endDateIso": "2026-01-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 17674.105928000004,
"volume1mo": 19145.402698000005,
"volume1yr": 19145.402698000005,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"30333067970031996836392916492140182773714033293964556728853668698859882595740\", \"113001979314616490943078834281577302714230722795780711276050523336133897278093\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 17674.105928000004,
"volume1moClob": 19145.402698000005,
"volume1yrClob": 19145.402698000005,
"volumeClob": 19145.402698,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-13T16:02:35Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.01,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.004,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.1245,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-13T16:02:04.845128Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1170479",
"question": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x6813d99ee682de526bbadddf904638d20616455321eaae1ca60c49da82edfffd",
"slug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-january-31-2026-859",
"endDate": "2026-01-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-01-13T16:02:58.231032Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"description": "On December 10, 2025, Ukraine hit and disabled \"Dashan,\" a tanker involved in trading Russian oil, as it sailed through Ukraine's exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea to the Russian port of Novorossiysk. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a strike against any tanker in the Black Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a tanker anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. \n\nStrikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties, such as Turkey, including the December 2 incident involving the tanker \"Midvolga-2,” will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/russian-tanker-struck-off-turkiye-as-ukraine-targets-shadow-fleet).\n\nShip seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the tanker will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "12035.64374",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-12T21:27:49.84756Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:58:37.608491Z",
"closedTime": "2026-02-01 00:46:54+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "January 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xd8b1dcbca44a5a4f3f23f58637998b42309f4019a9b775daa9a3f69e255a2533",
"umaEndDate": "2026-02-01T00:46:54Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 12035.64374,
"endDateIso": "2026-01-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 4980.424786,
"volume1mo": 12035.643740000001,
"volume1yr": 12035.643740000001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"48946995695157612763024429171577566181118448282830565614457839914617404524764\", \"23975908532434152074962980952150106054246922883644032013548243019361492292265\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 4980.424786,
"volume1moClob": 12035.643740000001,
"volume1yrClob": 12035.643740000001,
"volumeClob": 12035.64374,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-13T16:02:35Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.043,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.013,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.1645,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-13T16:02:04.846551Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1279009",
"question": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by February 28, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xdd828d93670c2afafa25c5740dcc91073c50de500e4bc04966b56dc376789365",
"slug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-february-28-2026-573",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-01-27T19:01:47.922Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"description": "On December 10, 2025, Ukraine hit and disabled \"Dashan,\" a tanker involved in trading Russian oil, as it sailed through Ukraine's exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea to the Russian port of Novorossiysk. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a strike against any tanker in the Black Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a tanker anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. \n\nStrikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties, such as Turkey, including the December 2 incident involving the tanker \"Midvolga-2,” will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/russian-tanker-struck-off-turkiye-as-ukraine-targets-shadow-fleet).\n\nShip seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the tanker will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "2375.160568",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-27T18:55:58.139099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:58:37.724117Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-03 00:27:07+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "February 28",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x325517a19c4e53cb48786a614830db958c71957f192110203e61569c5c7698c7",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-03T00:27:07Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 2375.160568,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-27",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 1757.334745,
"volume1mo": 2341.5107850000004,
"volume1yr": 2375.1605680000002,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"115524069758454506301656067222881477774399338807740441468766911793885214533328\", \"54145444286148417347937097733524880663656419290732342874220266339534765233046\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 1757.334745,
"volume1moClob": 2341.5107850000004,
"volume1yrClob": 2375.1605680000002,
"volumeClob": 2375.160568,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-27T19:00:41Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.003,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.03,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.445,
"lastTradePrice": 0.031,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-27T18:59:29.640624Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1279010",
"question": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by February 14, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xf2eed07690083ebfad473da607949940653071604f6c0911f573cc3871a307d3",
"slug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-february-14-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-14T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2026-01-27T19:01:49.765Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"description": "On December 10, 2025, Ukraine hit and disabled \"Dashan,\" a tanker involved in trading Russian oil, as it sailed through Ukraine's exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea to the Russian port of Novorossiysk. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a strike against any tanker in the Black Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a tanker anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. \n\nStrikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties, such as Turkey, including the December 2 incident involving the tanker \"Midvolga-2,” will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/russian-tanker-struck-off-turkiye-as-ukraine-targets-shadow-fleet).\n\nShip seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the tanker will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "1975.795463",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-27T18:57:26.691668Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:58:37.839771Z",
"closedTime": "2026-02-27 05:34:48+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "February 14",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x1ae2d3c231ddcf0f2c2a13e394387d7bc4411a3c134cafe57ab2285ffa8b0a30",
"umaEndDate": "2026-02-27T05:34:48Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 1975.795463,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-14",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-27",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 35.36,
"volume1mo": 1341.321463,
"volume1yr": 1341.321463,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"83509540657706029255594489252100112756382764778273371072968587693979588106341\", \"18476776783272555168931932901692479666003195464072452399903732883853161797608\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 35.36,
"volume1moClob": 1341.321463,
"volume1yrClob": 1341.321463,
"volumeClob": 1975.795463,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-27T19:00:43Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.013,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0165,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.488,
"lastTradePrice": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-27T18:59:29.642214Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1437630",
"question": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x8698572ca0243d41683c62f45ccb6ad17b6c90393188d48e54ea47c319ba5c4a",
"slug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-march-31-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "28924.28993",
"startDate": "2026-02-25T19:26:20.335843Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"description": "On December 10, 2025, Ukraine hit and disabled \"Dashan,\" a tanker involved in trading Russian oil, as it sailed through Ukraine's exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea to the Russian port of Novorossiysk. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a strike against any tanker in the Black Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a tanker anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. \n\nStrikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties, such as Turkey, including the December 2 incident involving the tanker \"Midvolga-2,” will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/russian-tanker-struck-off-turkiye-as-ukraine-targets-shadow-fleet).\n\nShip seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the tanker will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.9865\", \"0.0135\"]",
"volume": "464119.1053419999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-25T19:21:57.68213Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-03T14:24:03.309498Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0x4c9b5c9bbdbafe775fb7db1abcea3305654c16d1fd04b9c6342d1a7e8c55b009",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "disputed",
"volumeNum": 464119.1053419999,
"liquidityNum": 28924.28993,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-25",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 361462.206819,
"volume1wk": 449788.57260799996,
"volume1mo": 463937.7847049997,
"volume1yr": 464119.10534199973,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"73567620902005320913472340722035283024322410747604799135165072602579666071608\", \"50856491530206500931059749946640454385196330798342237584543594737319295009557\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 361462.206819,
"volume1wkClob": 449788.57260799996,
"volume1moClob": 463937.7847049997,
"volume1yrClob": 464119.10534199973,
"volumeClob": 464119.1053419999,
"liquidityClob": 28924.28993,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-25T19:25:14Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8086151475045429,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.013,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.075,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.2,
"lastTradePrice": 0.95,
"bestBid": 0.98,
"bestAsk": 0.993,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", \"proposed\", \"disputed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-25T19:23:59.357492Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1704688",
"question": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by April 15, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x1609b49f53bfaaa24d277ae75592925ec8ccbd83d59960bbfc09ce526a6fc325",
"slug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-april-15-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-15T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-24T14:57:17.294715Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea-by-december-31-dwHA5Sn4sKMu.jpg",
"description": "On December 10, 2025, Ukraine hit and disabled \"Dashan,\" a tanker involved in trading Russian oil, as it sailed through Ukraine's exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea to the Russian port of Novorossiysk. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a strike against any tanker in the Black Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a tanker anywhere in the Black Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. \n\nStrikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties, such as Turkey, including the December 2 incident involving the tanker \"Midvolga-2,” will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/2/russian-tanker-struck-off-turkiye-as-ukraine-targets-shadow-fleet).\n\nShip seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the tanker will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
"volume": "1005.702616",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-24T14:53:37.338303Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-02T08:24:07.601528Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-01 08:32:15+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 15",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0xb09b63f86346b696cf9f46f7c579ab79b321616ecc2774f362ac9dab8185b805",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-01T08:32:15Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 1005.702616,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-15",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-24",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"90148877446070661169285690596549589227461765350123727781892658832306658805832\", \"52839242201514242524414973054379742447385909637011934049165941111771015309701\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 1005.702616,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-24T14:56:11Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"lastTradePrice": 0.98,
"bestBid": 0.999,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-24T14:55:00.463801Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10791",
"ticker": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea",
"slug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea",
"title": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"createdAt": "2025-12-23T16:18:45.792659Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-03T14:19:07.764739Z",
"volume24hr": 362293.64131900005,
"volume": 522333.0945599999,
"liquidity": 5504.88911,
"commentCount": 406,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "96",
"label": "Ukraine",
"slug": "ukraine",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:22.039982Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "270",
"label": "putin",
"slug": "putin",
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:46:19.507+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:46:19.528Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:44.08742Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-black-sea",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Ukrainian naval drones struck the Russian shadow fleet oil tanker Altura on March 26, 2026, near Istanbul's Bosphorus Strait, flooding its engine room and disrupting 140,000 tons of crude exports, in the latest verified military action targeting vessels evading sanctions to fund Russia's war effort. This follows a drone hit on the Maran Homer tanker near Novorossiysk on March 14, amid Kyiv's campaign of \"kinetic sanctions\" exploiting Russia's diminished Black Sea naval presence. No further Black Sea tanker strikes confirmed in the past week, leaving trader consensus on another incident by the market deadline shaped by Ukraine's drone capabilities, Russian countermeasures, and risks of broader escalation or diplomatic fallout with Turkey and NATO neighbors.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-03T14:19:17.731Z"
}
}