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Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
us-strikes-iran-by
Volume
335.9M
24h volume
13.0M
1w volume
268.5M
Open interest
0
Liquidity
2.9M
Liquidity CLOB
2.9M
Start
Dec 22, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 22, 2025
Event ID
114242
Slug
us-strikes-iran-by
Markets
57
Raw event data
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}- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Vol 355.6KLiq 83.9KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Vol 6.8MLiq 84.2KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Vol 12.6MLiq 254.8KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Vol 2.1MLiq 133.7KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Vol 108.0KLiq 38.3KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Vol 77.9KLiq 31.6KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Vol 71.4KLiq 41.2KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Vol 27.5KLiq 29.0KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Vol 35.0KLiq 30.5KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Vol 56.4KLiq 41.9KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Vol 137.4KLiq 95.1KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Vol 31.7MLiq 497.8KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Vol 958.7KLiq 45.6KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Vol 830.9KLiq 127.7KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Vol 598.0KLiq 114.1KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Vol 816.0KLiq 141.7KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Vol 1.3MLiq 105.2KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Vol 2.8MLiq 80.7KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Vol 3.7MLiq 205.5KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Vol 18.5MLiq 710.7KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Vol 41.8MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Vol 17.6MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Vol 15.1MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Vol 13.6MLiq —End Jan 14, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Vol 12.3MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Vol 10.5MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Vol 9.8MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Vol 8.8MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Vol 8.5MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Vol 8.0MLiq —End Jan 15, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Vol 7.4MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Vol 6.9MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Vol 6.6MLiq —End Feb 1, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?Vol 5.6MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Vol 5.5MLiq —End Jan 18, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?Vol 4.9MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?Vol 4.5MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Vol 4.5MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Vol 4.5MLiq —End Feb 5, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Vol 4.2MLiq —End Feb 2, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Vol 4.2MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?Vol 4.1MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Vol 3.8MLiq —End Feb 4, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Vol 3.8MLiq —End Jan 17, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Vol 3.8MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Vol 3.8MLiq —End Feb 3, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Vol 3.6MLiq —End Feb 7, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Vol 3.5MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Vol 3.3MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Vol 3.1MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Vol 3.0MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Vol 2.9MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Vol 2.7MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?Vol 2.5MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Vol 2.0MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Vol 1.7MLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025?Vol 19.2KLiq —End Jun 30, 2026Closed