Loading event…
US/Israel strike Yemen by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ticker
usisrael-strike-yemen-by
Volume
391.6K
24h volume
55.1K
1w volume
219.3K
Open interest
90.9K
Liquidity
12.2K
Liquidity CLOB
12.2K
Start
Feb 28, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 28, 2026
Event ID
237033
Slug
usisrael-strike-yemen-by
Markets
7
Tags
Raw event data
{
"id": "237033",
"ticker": "usisrael-strike-yemen-by",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-yemen-by",
"title": "US/Israel strike Yemen by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T16:15:26.289663Z",
"creationDate": "2026-02-28T16:15:26.289656Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 12235.6882,
"volume": 391569.3391560017,
"openInterest": 90903.12535100001,
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T15:50:29.759494Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-30T05:34:41.687024Z",
"competitive": 0.8990986535997662,
"volume24hr": 55076.26462999994,
"volume1wk": 219286.9938699997,
"volume1mo": 391569.3391560002,
"volume1yr": 391569.3391560002,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 12235.6882,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 51,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1466796",
"question": "US/Israel strike Yemen by March 1?",
"conditionId": "0x292edf147cc4eed0ff19267aafc5fd9daeb609612c7cbd5d7d78f0dc2dbdb401",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-yemen-by-march-1",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T16:14:07.151709Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T15:50:30.572971Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:54:20.731899Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-06 08:44:19+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 1",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xfc7c4327e79f28205102886ea916265bba6db536de05b863de2d9103a5df4fb0",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-06T08:44:19Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"91567534597196087978437303261847553971486296132038172534307811813952065201843\", \"72940871873199246897433994716787496599700251380504135041863661014852133750587\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:13:01Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"lastTradePrice": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:11:44.059103Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1466797",
"question": "US/Israel strike Yemen by March 2?",
"conditionId": "0x2d42dc38968e99b25a913a7f9c25271c9793fd3a2ac3497fcac036cefa35920c",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-yemen-by-march-2",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T16:14:10.003961Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T15:50:31.312767Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:54:20.71393Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-06 11:54:25+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 2",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xb246240edc073296d83d65ef9d91e9b06287f21d85f6ffb7701f617624762fd8",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-06T11:54:25Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"83593227447738332594671623520895600081336107204790972500122014838645019375801\", \"95594954962622707808893840848099825417122668544906949903871637730994227989129\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:13:03Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"lastTradePrice": 0.008,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:11:44.064383Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1466798",
"question": "US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?",
"conditionId": "0x3eb44c1c2dcd3b02ef53ddd5dce52ee811c818043dfa16db2867797acd5148a7",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-yemen-by-march-3",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T16:14:11.742259Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T15:50:31.899452Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:54:20.788894Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-06 11:55:27+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 3",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x891b010d96eb5d9dcaf12091e38cc977c06abff991c631433802838e1350538c",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-06T11:55:27Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"3860671561951736715119176248872391320414290792097314284420164237094136641438\", \"36653501450534769673752652408202196730957069206703387505217728937652978935315\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:13:05Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"lastTradePrice": 0.009,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:11:44.06072Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1466799",
"question": "US/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?",
"conditionId": "0x9845dc3824226a148cd51a7cea233a17f97910fccd575c6c01addf594f22299c",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-yemen-by-march-4",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T16:14:04.626978Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T15:50:32.529246Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:54:20.617937Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-07 11:52:51+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 4",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x2c5b87d2086ff9678e447cd7ea12897f2393f7c022edf13ac9847790c962817f",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-07T11:52:51Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"85547695174131847289228709230635710167913783700517315676379948580075365570159\", \"47237943992513656141344585006336886933921428141876827771700904277725601526392\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:12:59Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"lastTradePrice": 0.011,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:11:44.065947Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1466800",
"question": "US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?",
"conditionId": "0xbccc347167426e6e7a3aaa72a76a6dbd6b9e0d636ae08187616c3b601591718e",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-yemen-by-march-7",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T16:14:06.898531Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T15:50:33.129363Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-11T06:07:32.843112Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-10 06:22:27+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 7",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xd302016809fcbafba9a791950169761f1188bcde244359a40d098bc89ad4aa82",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-10T06:22:27Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"68381486588832079329823466707627709531540977772631374375523571547347115190708\", \"43939751193301228834261168816162010979408183832658482819662265969890369020705\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:13:01Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", \"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:11:44.057374Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1466801",
"question": "US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?",
"conditionId": "0xbf5952e2f44f1251863da558fb625484230648a9709807eeb39fb08670a87e01",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-yemen-by-march-14",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T16:14:06.644974Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T15:50:33.702692Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-18T06:02:37.346581Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-17 06:36:49+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 14",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0x6ff3c55b921eb5ba23a1b3d00b7cd3909bd444b611f3a59448ccc134273b2f31",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-17T06:36:49Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"53291078133210336121182199964422257603727178933336230228878460008781536431480\", \"56425257909923328913612277093703533601847431562038967832411120021108417626982\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:13:01Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:11:44.055403Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1466802",
"question": "US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0xa1f29ddc6bfebb7334386d797989209b740c45bd28f7593d2d85ea852c561cba",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-yemen-by-march-31",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "12314.6367",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T16:14:09.750712Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-yemen-by-49S1tlkWlX96.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",
"volume": "391569.3391560017",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T15:50:34.270869Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-30T05:33:57.561915Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0x8c97dd9ebc6b4723b7507642ad591c60a1e6e46dd16f540145dcbfc2045b187d",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 391569.3391560017,
"liquidityNum": 12314.6367,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 54699.78884199996,
"volume1wk": 219266.9938699997,
"volume1mo": 391569.3391560002,
"volume1yr": 391569.3391560002,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"63838940441258823530555549739660969485906531481683303931681111898809688106528\", \"63614902148966692934017750290048857275735851455796887849859730639377399410955\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 54699.78884199996,
"volume1wkClob": 219266.9938699997,
"volume1moClob": 391569.3391560002,
"volume1yrClob": 391569.3391560002,
"volumeClob": 391569.3391560017,
"liquidityClob": 12314.6367,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:13:03Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8990986535997662,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "89124",
"conditionId": "0xa1f29ddc6bfebb7334386d797989209b740c45bd28f7593d2d85ea852c561cba",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 10,
"startDate": "2026-02-28",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.03,
"lastTradePrice": 0.17,
"bestBid": 0.15,
"bestAsk": 0.18,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-28T16:11:44.062555Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "180",
"label": "Israel",
"slug": "israel",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:27:02.801468Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102107",
"label": "houthi",
"slug": "houthi",
"createdAt": "2025-05-06T16:09:30.349974Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:21.666206Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "738",
"label": "Yemen",
"slug": "yemen",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-12-14 19:37:04.448+00",
"createdAt": "2023-12-14T19:37:04.467Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:58.520617Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "154",
"label": "Middle East",
"slug": "middle-east",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.104846Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
"slug": "iran",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.117508Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104007",
"label": "Military Strikes",
"slug": "military-strikes",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T19:51:19.151214Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:27:23.418089Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104009",
"label": "Regional Spillover",
"slug": "regional-spillover",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T19:56:34.326195Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:27:43.321334Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104064",
"label": "Israel x Iran",
"slug": "israel-x-iran",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-03T03:22:41.390984Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:30:24.067082Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "582",
"label": "Houthis",
"slug": "houthis",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-28 17:17:34.313+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-28T17:17:34.34Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-28T17:00:00.634329Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated the US-Israel-Iran war on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first direct strikes since the conflict began a month ago—prompting interception over the West Bank with no reported casualties. This follows Israel's earlier airstrikes on Houthi sites in Sanaa and ports earlier in March, amid threats of renewed Red Sea shipping attacks that previously disrupted global trade. US Marines have arrived in the region, and officials warn of targeting top Houthi leaders, fueling expectations of imminent retaliatory military action to secure the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Traders assess escalation risks ahead of potential resolution timelines.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-30T05:34:41.329Z"
}
}- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Vol 391.6KLiq 12.3KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 1?Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 2?Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed