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What will Iran strike by March 31?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Ticker
what-will-iran-strike-by-march-31
Volume
312.6K
24h volume
51.0K
1w volume
128.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
48.9K
Liquidity CLOB
48.9K
Start
Mar 1, 2026
End
—
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 1, 2026
Event ID
238022
Slug
what-will-iran-strike-by-march-31
Markets
8
Raw event data
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