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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
Ticker
what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026
Volume
253.1K
24h volume
2.5K
1w volume
13.1K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
186.9K
Liquidity CLOB
186.9K
Start
Jan 12, 2026
End
Dec 9, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 12, 2026
Event ID
159954
Slug
what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026
Markets
15
Raw event data
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}- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Vol 13.5KLiq 15.4KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Vol 12.2KLiq 12.8KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Vol 9.0KLiq 12.8KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Vol 81.0KLiq 14.1KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Vol 30.5KLiq 9.7KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Vol 33.6KLiq 11.1KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Vol 5.6KLiq 12.2KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Vol 4.9KLiq 14.2KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Vol 9.7KLiq 12.3KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Vol 7.0KLiq 12.4KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Vol 7.1KLiq 10.1KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book