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What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Ticker
what-will-trump-say-during-the-state-of-the-union-address
Volume
378.6K
24h volume
53.2K
1w volume
257.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
150.8K
Liquidity CLOB
150.8K
Start
Jan 5, 2026
End
Feb 24, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 5, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTK3om3JLro
Event ID
137384
Slug
what-will-trump-say-during-the-state-of-the-union-address
Markets
30
Raw event data
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}- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 23.3KLiq 9.2KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 29.8KLiq 9.4KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 14.3KLiq 7.1KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 2.3KLiq 2.9KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 4.4KLiq 4.2KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 806Liq 5.0KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 23.3KLiq 5.0KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 12.5KLiq 3.0KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 4.7KLiq 3.6KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 14.1KLiq 5.2KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Egg" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 2.8KLiq 2.0KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 34.5KLiq 7.1KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 3.9KLiq 4.5KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 6.4KLiq 3.4KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 3.5KLiq 1.7KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 137Liq 920End Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 50.2KLiq 6.6KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 4.0KLiq 1.7KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 13.3KLiq 5.6KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 7.3KLiq 5.0KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 7.2KLiq 1.3KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "IQ" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 3.6KLiq 792End Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 16.2KLiq 3.7KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 69.5KLiq 41.1KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 3.8KLiq 2.1KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Cookie" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 410Liq 559End Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 3.3KLiq 633End Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Steroid" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 3.2KLiq 1.4KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 8.1KLiq 405End Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Vol 7.6KLiq 5.6KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book