Loading event…
Which banks will fail by June 30?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework, within the listed date range: - The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions. - The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank. - A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention. - The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank. - The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer. If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open until September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30
Volume
333.1K
24h volume
14.9K
1w volume
74.4K
Open interest
82.0K
Liquidity
90.4K
Liquidity CLOB
90.4K
Start
Dec 31, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 31, 2025
Event ID
133436
Slug
which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30
Markets
8
Raw event data
{
"id": "133436",
"ticker": "which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30",
"slug": "which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30",
"title": "Which banks will fail by June 30?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework, within the listed date range:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open until September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T02:53:39.147686Z",
"creationDate": "2025-12-31T02:53:39.147661Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30-rq5YDDkZgoMa.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30-rq5YDDkZgoMa.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 90403.20867,
"volume": 333144.46417299996,
"openInterest": 82048.494495,
"sortBy": "price",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:30.206897Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T01:49:43.620222Z",
"competitive": 0.8162264179434318,
"volume24hr": 14920.00813,
"volume1wk": 74414.81372,
"volume1mo": 173332.258953,
"volume1yr": 333144.464173,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 90403.20867,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 7,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1067175",
"question": "Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xff58186c67a714e7278b3878c750553a1e77d87076b4e50de0bd9d056554fad1",
"slug": "will-jpmorgan-chase-fail-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "16316.75526",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T00:04:19.352813Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jpmorgan-chase-fail-by-june-30-2026-yydyR41SkCkl.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jpmorgan-chase-fail-by-june-30-2026-yydyR41SkCkl.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]",
"volume": "72658.50899699995",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:31.284104Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T01:48:53.90412Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "JPMorgan Chase",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x098d81723fe7a4337447f8d843ecc35be01d5bdb58ac336ade73d120eb1d140f",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 72658.50899699995,
"liquidityNum": 16316.75526,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 13660.385714000002,
"volume1wk": 28984.491447,
"volume1mo": 37795.265909,
"volume1yr": 72658.50899700001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"77595641501248479063999104624965054937677525629674879820353579307931291099367\", \"64407628197638136859278858795213381927126940584252960852507754259054097656256\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 13660.385714000002,
"volume1wkClob": 28984.491447,
"volume1moClob": 37795.265909,
"volume1yrClob": 72658.50899700001,
"volumeClob": 72658.50899699995,
"liquidityClob": 16316.75526,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T00:03:57Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8155939940473872,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.012,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0015,
"lastTradePrice": 0.024,
"bestBid": 0.024,
"bestAsk": 0.025,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T00:03:27.817942Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1067176",
"question": "Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x1f7c18f46d6a6785d516b4b3c0c138bf42ae232ff5659aaecd158d1e3d00cbcb",
"slug": "will-hsbc-fail-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "7790.09646",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:06.009333Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-hsbc-fail-by-june-30-2026-zZ02zHGOp6k3.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-hsbc-fail-by-june-30-2026-zZ02zHGOp6k3.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0215\", \"0.9785\"]",
"volume": "25699.420101999985",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:32.151023Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T01:49:09.2294Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "HSBC",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x1bde37566c1b889f9a0d70050ebba176cae49207e9208cf13d25322e2ade9cc9",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 25699.420101999985,
"liquidityNum": 7790.09646,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 5,
"volume1wk": 15.183222,
"volume1mo": 3854.641605,
"volume1yr": 25699.420102000004,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"62841660078465738472500338183697323887231018855327125601682484898360881368595\", \"53177501989383260113527717765565333937307387376808250168978327627905548355971\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 5,
"volume1wkClob": 15.183222,
"volume1moClob": 3854.641605,
"volume1yrClob": 25699.420102000004,
"volumeClob": 25699.420101999985,
"liquidityClob": 7790.09646,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:43Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8136946435905578,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0105,
"lastTradePrice": 0.018,
"bestBid": 0.019,
"bestAsk": 0.024,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:09.73561Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1067177",
"question": "Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xa0e9a3826b017bcab72b8cd53d6b83069b706c81d3202aa4870f0ef6b8d01371",
"slug": "will-scotiabank-fail-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "6953.79179",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:05.755053Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-scotiabank-fail-by-june-30-2026-YwsXpNUnQhHJ.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-scotiabank-fail-by-june-30-2026-YwsXpNUnQhHJ.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.022\", \"0.978\"]",
"volume": "30687.75451500002",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:32.925268Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T01:49:02.523324Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Scotiabank",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xb35ce8d4dfd8023fe125ed52b2003a117552f3827e4cb25595540486d86d54ed",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 30687.75451500002,
"liquidityNum": 6953.79179,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 145.369962,
"volume1wk": 13296.168348999998,
"volume1mo": 14670.977201999998,
"volume1yr": 30687.754515000008,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"113385189492544274114798884752050551180595690396468226920376234335677622459004\", \"37393679374982107360203529970630578641831112300326276012268478385965112268135\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 145.369962,
"volume1wkClob": 13296.168348999998,
"volume1moClob": 14670.977201999998,
"volume1yrClob": 30687.754515000008,
"volumeClob": 30687.75451500002,
"liquidityClob": 6953.79179,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:43Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8140114156960937,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.006,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.048,
"bestBid": 0.021,
"bestAsk": 0.023,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:09.718149Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1067178",
"question": "Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xadca1b911ad128c1940868572fa47f3810673bb058234504671a5c46c910ea53",
"slug": "will-bnp-paribas-fail-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "8074.43832",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:03.323288Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bnp-paribas-fail-by-june-30-2026-LofhnoQti1na.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bnp-paribas-fail-by-june-30-2026-LofhnoQti1na.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.022\", \"0.978\"]",
"volume": "19794.123336000026",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:33.670509Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T01:48:50.737162Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "BNP Paribas",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xe95468109920a32bd669d2c8f62569ff728bc376ef7af178fe4873fddd29108a",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 19794.123336000026,
"liquidityNum": 8074.43832,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 26,
"volume1wk": 3529.741384,
"volume1mo": 8388.883136999999,
"volume1yr": 19794.123336000004,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"80663252885623493553166275479055005557484523894580944107064388418428333730542\", \"11653447490683287908659101015060097332301164635356470683853783198067303840573\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 26,
"volume1wkClob": 3529.741384,
"volume1moClob": 8388.883136999999,
"volume1yrClob": 19794.123336000004,
"volumeClob": 19794.123336000026,
"liquidityClob": 8074.43832,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:41Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8140114156960937,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "100169",
"conditionId": "0xadca1b911ad128c1940868572fa47f3810673bb058234504671a5c46c910ea53",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-03-11",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.022,
"bestBid": 0.021,
"bestAsk": 0.023,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:09.725224Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1067179",
"question": "Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x8b2d2cdbda04bea88bb689424d8e070f650e239d11efc82a3ea76e6c074fbca8",
"slug": "will-ubs-fail-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "17762.86379",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:03.578532Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ubs-fail-by-june-30-2026-_o4GGtfmVkUL.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ubs-fail-by-june-30-2026-_o4GGtfmVkUL.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0225\", \"0.9775\"]",
"volume": "28642.57848900002",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:34.444251Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T01:49:05.768707Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "UBS",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x3973a1b3336edc49074604088bb7638f7d6033fbbeb6478f7c754bbfb08917bf",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 28642.57848900002,
"liquidityNum": 17762.86379,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 328,
"volume1wk": 717.6983280000001,
"volume1mo": 10755.052166,
"volume1yr": 28642.578489000003,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"9543578988587838385699168786946798091759671906188701181304389267560862878129\", \"5997995158003093871452956266606713444527197496297909716117599741240215011050\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 328,
"volume1wkClob": 717.6983280000001,
"volume1moClob": 10755.052166,
"volume1yrClob": 28642.578489000003,
"volumeClob": 28642.57848900002,
"liquidityClob": 17762.86379,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:41Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8143281029717886,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "52563",
"conditionId": "0x8b2d2cdbda04bea88bb689424d8e070f650e239d11efc82a3ea76e6c074fbca8",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 2,
"startDate": "2025-12-31",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.005,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.023,
"lastTradePrice": 0.019,
"bestBid": 0.02,
"bestAsk": 0.025,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:09.73198Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1067180",
"question": "Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x12087e67285645f9a92900b268ac96e95c394cc5490ab5a27b1a7b9aac1fc033",
"slug": "will-deutsche-bank-fail-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "15863.36032",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:05.50178Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deutsche-bank-fail-by-june-30-2026-Qbs9fgV0zgPr.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deutsche-bank-fail-by-june-30-2026-Qbs9fgV0zgPr.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.023\", \"0.977\"]",
"volume": "128847.17265899997",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:35.202409Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T01:49:18.144746Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Deutsche Bank",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xababfe648c19b02948c768da4080f13619126179096918673352e22a1d9945ef",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 128847.17265899997,
"liquidityNum": 15863.36032,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 731.112454,
"volume1wk": 27243.924227,
"volume1mo": 92593.178526,
"volume1yr": 128847.172659,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"64310980930298905631756503972482446389472934878129673764749089740632283644742\", \"48042301243766546460933912400297248882714726577038232972616424710290680850547\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 731.112454,
"volume1wkClob": 27243.924227,
"volume1moClob": 92593.178526,
"volume1yrClob": 128847.172659,
"volumeClob": 128847.17265899997,
"liquidityClob": 15863.36032,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:43Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8146447049316147,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0085,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0015,
"lastTradePrice": 0.022,
"bestBid": 0.022,
"bestAsk": 0.024,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:09.721725Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1067181",
"question": "Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x689999ea13cf438a0a042a6aa3e4d62a438e09d018b375a67694dd6ad2ca08ec",
"slug": "will-citigroup-fail-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "7237.25029",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:07.164384Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-citigroup-fail-by-june-30-2026-XKf5rCgbAO3z.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-citigroup-fail-by-june-30-2026-XKf5rCgbAO3z.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.021\", \"0.979\"]",
"volume": "8169.508120000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:35.920763Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T01:49:02.369324Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Citigroup",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0x1d36e000f1915cf2ddfc1e666cfd963bf46bb4699b1329982251faaa2315d2c2",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 8169.508120000001,
"liquidityNum": 7237.25029,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 24,
"volume1wk": 64.75,
"volume1mo": 556.648537,
"volume1yr": 8169.5081199999995,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"100495325070185380836659360263463212261042126524548548068453818597972668141867\", \"60739652419283109996750072107277128646967459796538504426889487713537042475884\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 24,
"volume1wkClob": 64.75,
"volume1moClob": 556.648537,
"volume1yrClob": 8169.5081199999995,
"volumeClob": 8169.508120000001,
"liquidityClob": 7237.25029,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:45Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8133777871406599,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.004,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0105,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0085,
"lastTradePrice": 0.02,
"bestBid": 0.019,
"bestAsk": 0.023,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:09.728716Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1067182",
"question": "Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x3ff31d74cdc64db8bac526592434f63f7d924a40d10c1476033f4e7c97c65dad",
"slug": "will-goldman-sachs-fail-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "10394.90264",
"startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:05.247884Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-goldman-sachs-fail-by-june-30-2026-AwKSTTAy-pyA.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-goldman-sachs-fail-by-june-30-2026-AwKSTTAy-pyA.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]",
"volume": "18645.397955000008",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:36.688791Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T01:49:07.35331Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Goldman Sachs",
"groupItemThreshold": "7",
"questionID": "0x698b63091fc964b47baf0a62dae6fea6faf033518e4fdbb99cc31f8c0c9c6c88",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 18645.397955000008,
"liquidityNum": 10394.90264,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0.14,
"volume1wk": 562.856763,
"volume1mo": 4717.611871,
"volume1yr": 18645.397955,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"98002131912279469147956794928409327077822148052598624017127089657363663745826\", \"18385945638928980186524315305655214970146472680531304168580959433812044524672\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 0.14,
"volume1wkClob": 562.856763,
"volume1moClob": 4717.611871,
"volume1yrClob": 18645.397955,
"volumeClob": 18645.397955000008,
"liquidityClob": 10394.90264,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:43Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8162264179434318,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.007,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.002,
"lastTradePrice": 0.03,
"bestBid": 0.022,
"bestAsk": 0.029,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:09.739092Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "120",
"label": "Finance",
"slug": "finance",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:30:44.068593Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100328",
"label": "Economy",
"slug": "economy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:18:21.302993Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "107",
"label": "Business",
"slug": "business",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:20:37.48+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:20:37.488Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:44.086943Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "The banking sector's stability, underscored by the Federal Reserve's June 2024 stress tests where all 31 major banks comfortably exceeded capital requirements under adverse scenarios, anchors trader consensus toward minimal failure risk by June 30. No FDIC-insured bank closures have occurred since Republic First Bank's seizure in late April, amid heightened regulatory scrutiny and proactive capital raises following earlier pressures on regional lenders like New York Community Bancorp (NYCB) from commercial real estate (CRE) loan provisions. Elevated Treasury yields and persistent office vacancies continue stressing CRE portfolios, but strong deposit growth and liquidity buffers mitigate tail risks. Traders eye Q2 earnings releases starting mid-July for updated non-performing loan trends and net interest margin dynamics that could signal shifts.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-26T01:42:04.363Z"
}
}- Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?Vol 18.6KLiq 10.4KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?Vol 72.7KLiq 16.3KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?Vol 128.8KLiq 15.9KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?Vol 28.6KLiq 17.8KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?Vol 30.7KLiq 7.0KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?Vol 19.8KLiq 8.1KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?Vol 25.7KLiq 7.8KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?Vol 8.2KLiq 7.2KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book