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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Ticker
which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-june-30
Volume
774.3K
24h volume
876
1w volume
137.0K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
53.5K
Liquidity CLOB
53.5K
Start
Dec 22, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 22, 2025
Event ID
117916
Slug
which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-june-30
Markets
11
Raw event data
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