Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Name: Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
Start: 2026-03-20T20:45:53.502416Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ticker
which-company-has-the-1-ai-model-end-of-april-style-control-on
Volume
410.2K
24h volume
112.5K
1w volume
395.5K
Open interest
10.4K
Liquidity
104.3K
Liquidity CLOB
104.3K
Start
Mar 20, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 20, 2026
Event ID
290459
Slug
which-company-has-the-1-ai-model-end-of-april-style-control-on
Markets
Tags
AI Tech Big Tech Rewards 50, 4.5, 100
Raw event data
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  "title": "Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)",
  "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Score\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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      "question": "Will Company F have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Score\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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    {
      "id": "1664362",
      "question": "Will Company G have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Score\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Company H have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Score\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Company K have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?",
      "conditionId": "0x5cb58e006c1c9ad7b4be37e55f3fc40d32f8555b2d7cf47d8742b4beb6d8a7a7",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Score\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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      "question": "Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?",
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    {
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Score\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "createdAt": "2026-03-20T18:41:45.386616Z",
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  "series": [
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      "ticker": "top-ai-company-style-on",
      "slug": "top-ai-company-style-on",
      "title": "Top AI Company (Style on)",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 23:08:32.469+00",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:01.532137Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101999",
      "label": "Big Tech",
      "slug": "big-tech",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.73488Z",
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    },
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      "label": "Rewards 50, 4.5, 100",
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  "cyom": false,
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  "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T20:38:12.512293Z",
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, commands the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a substantial Elo lead—around 2,003 versus Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro at 1,859—driving its 74.5% implied probability as trader consensus for holding the #1 spot by April's end under style control metrics. Enhanced coding, long-context reasoning, and agentic capabilities have solidified its edge in crowdsourced human preferences across benchmarks like GPQA and creative tasks, outpacing rivals amid OpenAI's GPT-5.x struggles in user-voted personality and flow. Google and xAI trail at 7% and 6.9%, buoyed by multimodal strengths and Grok betas, but lack confirmed April launches to challenge; watch for Gemini updates or Grok 4 previews as key swing factors in this fast-evolving large language model race.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-28T15:34:55.785Z"
  }
}
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 12.0KLiq 8.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 21.0KLiq 9.3KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 7.0KLiq 8.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 50.6KLiq 9.8KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
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Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 57.0KLiq 6.8KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 5.1KLiq 6.6KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 5.1KLiq 6.3KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 23.4KLiq 6.8KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 24.4KLiq 7.2KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 4.6KLiq 8.3KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 4.4KLiq 9.2KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company A have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will any other company have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company F have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company G have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company H have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company K have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company B have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company C have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company J have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company D have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company E have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company I have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company L have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company M have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book