Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Name: Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Start: 2025-12-02T23:58:48.070118Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ticker
which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-march-style-control-on
Volume
344.4K
24h volume
48.2K
1w volume
210.2K
Open interest
25.5K
Liquidity
78.6K
Liquidity CLOB
78.6K
Start
Dec 2, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 2, 2025
Event ID
96015
Slug
which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-march-style-control-on
Markets
Tags
Gemini 3 Grok AI Tech OpenAI Big Tech
Raw event data
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  "title": "Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)",
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      "question": "Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-mistral-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-march-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Company A have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Company C have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Company G have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x26f38aee39ac0161d62ea963cb4f3eb684e7fee34ce279d56b436f85a86a9da8",
      "slug": "will-company-g-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-march-2026",
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      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-september-rg060DKa_VSI.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "id": "801185",
      "question": "Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x87023c4c5b90d9afb7968df807c52fe3a13569b9208f9d1ea49a7480728e77b0",
      "slug": "will-anthropic-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-march-2026",
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      "id": "801187",
      "question": "Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-alibaba-have-the-3-ai-model-at-the-end-of-march-2026",
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      "question": "Will Company D have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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      "ticker": "3-ai-model-style-control-on",
      "slug": "3-ai-model-style-control-on",
      "title": " #3 AI model Style Control On",
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      "label": "Big Tech",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Traders show overwhelming consensus (93.3% implied probability) that Google holds the #3 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Style Control On leaderboard by end of March, propelled by Gemini 1.5 Pro's sustained third-place Elo ranking behind OpenAI's GPT-4o and Anthropic's Claude 3 Opus/Sonnet. Recent user-voted evaluations through late March underscore Gemini's edge in maintaining stylistic consistency during controlled prompts—a critical benchmark for advanced large language model capabilities—bolstered by Google's February 1.5 series release and iterative improvements. xAI's Grok-1.5 trails at 4.2% on preview hype alone, lacking comparable battle-tested data. While a surprise late-March model drop or voting anomaly could challenge this, the market's proximity to resolution and stable snapshots reinforce Google's positioning amid AI lab rivalries.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-27T07:45:08.804Z"
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}
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Will Company A have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company C have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company E have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company G have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company I have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company K have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will any other company have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company B have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company D have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company F have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company H have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company J have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company L have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book