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Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
instead of france germany etc This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
which-countries-will-strike-iran-by-march-31
Volume
403.4K
24h volume
236.3K
1w volume
236.3K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
70.7K
Liquidity CLOB
70.7K
Start
Mar 1, 2026
End
—
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 1, 2026
Event ID
238094
Slug
which-countries-will-strike-iran-by-march-31
Markets
10
Raw event data
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}- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Vol 85.8KLiq 7.0KOpenOrder book
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