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Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Ticker
who-will-advance-to-2026-paris-municipal-election-2nd-round
Volume
286.9K
24h volume
219.6K
1w volume
286.9K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
63.4K
Liquidity CLOB
63.4K
Start
Mar 13, 2026
End
Mar 15, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 13, 2026
Event ID
264148
Slug
who-will-advance-to-2026-paris-municipal-election-2nd-round
Markets
7
Raw event data
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}- Will Rachida Dati advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Vol 13.9KLiq 10.8KEnd Mar 15, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Vol 10.4KLiq 9.5KEnd Mar 15, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Vol 50.5KLiq 9.8KEnd Mar 15, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Vol 82.1KLiq 6.5KEnd Mar 15, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Vol 125.1KLiq 11.1KEnd Mar 15, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Thierry Mariani advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Vol 2.9KLiq 10.0KEnd Mar 15, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will David Belliard advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Vol 2.0KLiq 5.8KEnd Mar 15, 2026OpenOrder book