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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Ticker

who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet

Volume

711.4K

24h volume

573.2K

1w volume

590.4K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

314.9K

Liquidity CLOB

314.9K

Start

Feb 4, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Feb 4, 2026

Event ID

198574

Slug

who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet

Markets

33

Tags

Cabinet Trump Politics Rewards 50, 4.5, 100

Raw event data

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  "title": "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?",
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Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 104.4KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 45.5KLiq 314.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 70.2KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 36.5KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 28.6KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 27.8KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 27.3KLiq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 26.8KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 26.4KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 25.0KLiq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 24.8KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 24.1KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 21.9KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 21.7KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 21.5KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 21.3KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 21.1KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 20.7KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 20.3KLiq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 19.4KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 16.3KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 15.9KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 15.9KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 14.5KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 13.2KLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Person A be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Person B be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Person D be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Person C be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Person E be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Person F be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will Person G be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed
Will another individual (Other) be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026Closed