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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Ticker

who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet

Volume

468.9K

24h volume

270.9K

1w volume

407.1K

Open interest

6.4K

Liquidity

136.5K

Liquidity CLOB

136.5K

Start

Mar 6, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 6, 2026

Event ID

248393

Slug

who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-967

Markets

32

Tags

Cabinet Politics Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Trump

Raw event data

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  "title": "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?",
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      "question": "Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?",
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Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 14.8KLiq 3.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 177.7KLiq 11.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 38.7KLiq 8.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 92.2KLiq 8.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 6.2KLiq 5.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 3.6KLiq 4.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 3.8KLiq 7.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 4.2KLiq 4.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 4.3KLiq 5.5KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 3.6KLiq 4.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 4.4KLiq 4.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 5.2KLiq 4.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 3.9KLiq 4.3KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 6.7KLiq 6.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 9.5KLiq 4.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 3.5KLiq 4.1KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 4.2KLiq 5.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 3.5KLiq 4.3KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 26.8KLiq 6.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 5.7KLiq 4.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 3.7KLiq 4.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 4.2KLiq 4.3KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 40.0KLiq 6.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 3.2KLiq 5.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person B be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person F be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will another individual (Other) be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person A be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person D be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person C be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person E be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person G be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book