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Who will win the Nice mayoral election?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The 2026 Nice municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Nice, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
Ticker
who-will-win-the-nice-mayoral-election
Volume
287.2K
24h volume
44.2K
1w volume
126.6K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
92.0K
Liquidity CLOB
92.0K
Start
Nov 15, 2025
End
May 22, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 15, 2025
Event ID
80911
Slug
who-will-win-the-nice-mayoral-election
Markets
17
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Eric Ciotti's 90.5% implied probability in the Nice mayoral election market reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status for the 2026 contest, bolstered by incumbent Christian Estrosi's June 2024 announcement that he will not seek re-election after two terms marked by security-focused governance. Ciotti, National Rally leader and Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur regional president, benefits from strong local polling—recent surveys show him ahead by double digits—and RN's dominance in southeastern France following the 2024 legislative elections. Estrosi's 8.9% odds persist amid speculation he could endorse a successor or shift alliances. Realistic challenges include a unified centrist coalition behind a high-profile alternative, Ciotti scandal, or Macron allies rallying support, though no major catalysts have emerged ahead of formal candidate filings.",
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}- Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 75.7KLiq 15.1KEnd May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 61.2KLiq 12.3KEnd May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Jean-Marc Governatori win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 45.1KLiq 20.4KEnd May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person B win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person D win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person F win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person H win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person J win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will another person win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person A win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person C win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person E win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person G win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person I win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person K win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Vol 0Liq 0End May 22, 2026OpenOrder book