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Will gas hit__ by end of March?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Ticker
will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march
Volume
354.1K
24h volume
110.4K
1w volume
188.8K
Open interest
60.8K
Liquidity
128.3K
Liquidity CLOB
128.3K
Start
Mar 5, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 5, 2026
Event ID
246214
Slug
will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march
Markets
12
Raw event data
{
"id": "246214",
"ticker": "will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march",
"title": "Will gas hit__ by end of March?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:12:44.86767Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-05T23:12:44.867634Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 128257.75419,
"volume": 354073.412387,
"openInterest": 60816.387482,
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:28:56.075172Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-27T06:09:51.841778Z",
"competitive": 0.9538344143456696,
"volume24hr": 110441.87818799997,
"volume1wk": 188783.977348,
"volume1mo": 354073.412387,
"volume1yr": 354073.412387,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 128257.75419,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 17,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1500738",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x909bf9a58a1c15d045041f1c59dde7d040eaac98afb85515e9bc9365ebce2b59",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-5pt00-by-march-31",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "30763.50748",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:08:46.636669Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.002\", \"0.998\"]",
"volume": "72349.75900899997",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:28:57.011239Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-27T06:09:04.622882Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $5.00",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x4ee4321db2cef953aa6440a041f93d83e4c83fc44ffe6e82a5981a09d9e3dd1c",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 72349.75900899997,
"liquidityNum": 30763.50748,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-05",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 8184.944516,
"volume1wk": 29092.513260000003,
"volume1mo": 72349.759009,
"volume1yr": 72349.759009,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"102968377026032546585548264748358868631816814100348657258243251114587435198578\", \"3032999686389906970688830270069087929025692810627513896489331768375418706863\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 8184.944516,
"volume1wkClob": 29092.513260000003,
"volume1moClob": 72349.759009,
"volume1yrClob": 72349.759009,
"volumeClob": 72349.75900899997,
"liquidityClob": 30763.50748,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:07:41Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8012794830785799,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestBid": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.003,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:04:05.948584Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1500739",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0xdeaecf9904d03a6fe48ab52ad4caed979a658fb5d7d89d608b087a0cd065d937",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-4pt50-by-march-31",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "17006.02352",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:08:39.571338Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]",
"volume": "53000.03566600003",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:28:57.75037Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-27T06:09:07.565276Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $4.50",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x77adc97efb8549642befd9e658adffe83d018589cddcc778047e5948993ee339",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 53000.03566600003,
"liquidityNum": 17006.02352,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-05",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 5600.751853000001,
"volume1wk": 15682.407152999998,
"volume1mo": 53000.035666,
"volume1yr": 53000.035666,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"51623318905821601697430514825415765725245773669587964800342957628810336355398\", \"52424794223041908952202276183288018779771031199839492073285528503500688808385\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 5600.751853000001,
"volume1wkClob": 15682.407152999998,
"volume1moClob": 53000.035666,
"volume1yrClob": 53000.035666,
"volumeClob": 53000.03566600003,
"liquidityClob": 17006.02352,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:07:33Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8067051720490372,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "95322",
"conditionId": "0xdeaecf9904d03a6fe48ab52ad4caed979a658fb5d7d89d608b087a0cd065d937",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 20,
"startDate": "2026-03-06",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
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],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"lastTradePrice": 0.011,
"bestBid": 0.01,
"bestAsk": 0.011,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:04:05.949093Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1500740",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x5d685b99a4c522fa073f3e61c81fdbb631debcaaf1dadffc97596262649aeaf3",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-4pt25-by-march-31",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "15813.11279",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:08:37.824472Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0235\", \"0.9765\"]",
"volume": "48895.13977999998",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:28:58.53837Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-27T06:09:07.105706Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $4.25",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xafcc2873bf433e40be4e6fea790b27e705e182fb5eeabb81e8f0038dd8a39ea6",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 48895.13977999998,
"liquidityNum": 15813.11279,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-05",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 9856.324417,
"volume1wk": 26010.182562,
"volume1mo": 48895.13977999999,
"volume1yr": 48895.13977999999,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 9856.324417,
"volume1wkClob": 26010.182562,
"volume1moClob": 48895.13977999999,
"volume1yrClob": 48895.13977999999,
"volumeClob": 48895.13977999998,
"liquidityClob": 15813.11279,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:07:31Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.814961221088996,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
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"conditionId": "0x5d685b99a4c522fa073f3e61c81fdbb631debcaaf1dadffc97596262649aeaf3",
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"rewardsDailyRate": 15,
"startDate": "2026-03-06",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
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],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.003,
"lastTradePrice": 0.027,
"bestBid": 0.022,
"bestAsk": 0.025,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:04:05.959694Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1500741",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x029cd00d5716cd5e5e3f08c92056945ec632c46b4dc58a9eeb2ed57d0d02eb14",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-4pt00-by-march-31",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "8356.4187",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:09:09.929581Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.735\", \"0.265\"]",
"volume": "33550.476059",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:28:59.52438Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-27T06:09:20.671404Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $4.00",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x800fb10b161cb864b8bebdd83e75e7f42ab462b559053d4e1beff77314d42a37",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 33550.476059,
"liquidityNum": 8356.4187,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-05",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 4733.822469000001,
"volume1wk": 14268.723277,
"volume1mo": 33550.476059,
"volume1yr": 33550.476059,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 4733.822469000001,
"volume1wkClob": 14268.723277,
"volume1moClob": 33550.476059,
"volume1yrClob": 33550.476059,
"volumeClob": 33550.476059,
"liquidityClob": 8356.4187,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:08:03Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9476651898884124,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
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"conditionId": "0x029cd00d5716cd5e5e3f08c92056945ec632c46b4dc58a9eeb2ed57d0d02eb14",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-03-06",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
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],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.07,
"lastTradePrice": 0.76,
"bestBid": 0.7,
"bestAsk": 0.77,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:04:05.953944Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1500742",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x01fcd4359561aa1d797882fde9569aa75b12defa9570d9f2ea25dfb1a01dae8e",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-3pt75-by-march-31",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:09:02.937849Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:29:00.310741Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-18T10:00:00.304729Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-17 12:14:03+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $3.75",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xe39eeaec227b4865b05bb9d6449dfb9a3a6accb4596e44149619a2b505a9547d",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-17T12:14:03Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-05",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"44457996092436748797895802961974281340917200529128414262736312514209367756731\", \"111073894811010769031932189963501414838538393959075746826600217286144430835815\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:07:57Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"lastTradePrice": 0.999,
"bestBid": 0.999,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:04:05.953973Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
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},
{
"id": "1500743",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $3.50 by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0xd12cdd224b053bd2e2b9d1281987e5226c22502b8a36bec285b8d8246bf01979",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-3pt50-by-march-31",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:10:13.025497Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
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"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:29:01.021575Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-11T12:43:44.649077Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $3.50",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
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"funded": false,
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"manualActivation": false,
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{
"id": "1500744",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $3.35 by March 31?",
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"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-3pt35-by-march-31",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:07:37.886683Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:29:02.815977Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:57:51.079671Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-07 14:26:57+00",
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"featured": false,
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"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $3.35",
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"acceptingOrders": false,
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"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:06:31Z",
"cyom": false,
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"deploying": false,
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{
"id": "1500745",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $3.25 by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x2a22bf83414ec17b1d4da700cd66b2594eb53f8f0c99c3ebf2c5c29e8bee3668",
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"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:07:30.852497Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:29:03.456939Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:57:51.118059Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-06 14:56:55+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
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"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $3.25",
"groupItemThreshold": "7",
"questionID": "0x670bc7d7b6e3ddaef821779673088e0427239cd7ac1d52a3b4ea144069ccb4d0",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-06T14:56:55Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-05",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
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"acceptingOrders": false,
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"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:06:25Z",
"cyom": false,
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{
"id": "1500746",
"question": "Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?",
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"liquidity": "15114.54953",
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"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",
"volume": "10462.365333000005",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:29:04.162505Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-27T06:09:00.69617Z",
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"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↓ $3.15",
"groupItemThreshold": "8",
"questionID": "0xbaf418c6cb7ff9d05b1662dd56f76d76262fdb4ad6e1de1d24e95afc4a2a9eda",
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"liquidityNum": 15114.54953,
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"startDateIso": "2026-03-05",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 378.406465,
"volume1wk": 5483.988789999999,
"volume1mo": 10462.365333000002,
"volume1yr": 10462.365333000002,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 378.406465,
"volume1wkClob": 5483.988789999999,
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"volume1yrClob": 10462.365333000002,
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"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
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"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-05T23:08:23Z",
"cyom": false,
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},
{
"id": "1500747",
"question": "Will gas hit (Low) $3.10 by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x4936be5521f30f504ad0a3f6c4c7783beee31bd8317d6cd02fac775a4fc626d8",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-low-3pt10-by-march-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "13902.57996",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:08:11.269315Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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"volume": "32766.991307",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:29:04.747628Z",
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"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
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{
"id": "1500748",
"question": "Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x7681f2f0015a40dc150b47f09204820ad72abafb94c145e689a7c28e4a7c8695",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-low-3pt05-by-march-31",
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"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "14505.66595",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:10:16.922399Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]",
"volume": "84013.68115200003",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-04T18:29:05.396684Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-27T06:09:00.019317Z",
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"groupItemTitle": "↓ $3.05",
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"liquidityNum": 14505.66595,
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{
"id": "1500749",
"question": "Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?",
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"slug": "will-gas-hit-low-3pt00-by-march-31",
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"startDate": "2026-03-05T23:07:46.928312Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the \"$3.15\" bracket).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg.\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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],
"tags": [
{
"id": "100328",
"label": "Economy",
"slug": "economy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:18:21.302993Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
"slug": "iran",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.117508Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100679",
"label": "gas",
"slug": "gas",
"createdAt": "2024-10-03T17:02:42.436055Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:22.217746Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101031",
"label": "Commodities",
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"createdAt": "2024-10-22T15:45:27.386784Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.548077Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "309",
"label": "Oil",
"slug": "oil",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:53:13.969+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:53:13.977Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:24:22.413244Z",
"isCarousel": false,
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}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
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"enableNegRisk": false,
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"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
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"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
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"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "National average U.S. regular gasoline prices hover around $3.13 per gallon as of late February 2025, reflecting a roughly 10% decline year-to-date driven by softening West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil benchmarks near $72 per barrel—the lowest in over two months—amid weak global demand from China, surging U.S. production exceeding 13.3 million barrels per day, and easing Red Sea shipping disruptions. Refinery utilization rates above 85% and elevated EIA gasoline inventories have compressed crack spreads, limiting upside. Trader sentiment prices in continued moderation through March end, barring geopolitical flares or severe weather, with key catalysts including this week's EIA storage report and the onset of spring driving season demand.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-27T06:09:32.573Z"
}
}- Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- Will gas hit (High) $3.50 by March 31?Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
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