
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-lebanon-by-march-31
Volume
350.7K
24h volume
109.3K
1w volume
120.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
36.4K
Liquidity CLOB
36.4K
Start
Nov 13, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 13, 2025
Event ID
79223
Slug
will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-lebanon-by-march-31
Markets
1
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