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Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ticker
will-israel-strike-gaza-on-224
Volume
3.3M
24h volume
47.6K
1w volume
3.2M
Open interest
0
Liquidity
68.9K
Liquidity CLOB
68.9K
Start
Jan 27, 2026
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 27, 2026
Event ID
190458
Slug
will-israel-strike-gaza-on-224
Markets
28
Raw event data
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}- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Vol 765.3KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed
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- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?Vol 2.0KLiq 3.2KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?Vol 49.0KLiq 3.9KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?Vol 58.3KLiq 44.8KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?Vol 217.3KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?Vol 215.0KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?Vol 174.7KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?Vol 172.8KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?Vol 145.7KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?Vol 113.5KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?Vol 104.1KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?Vol 78.8KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?Vol 57.3KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed